2014
DOI: 10.1016/j.rbmo.2014.04.011
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Limitations of a time-lapse blastocyst prediction model: a large multicentre outcome analysis

Abstract: The goal of embryo selection models is to select embryos with the highest reproductive potential, whilst minimizing the rejection of viable embryos. Ultimately, any embryo selection model must be tested on clinical outcome. We therefore retrospectively tested a published blastocyst prediction model on a large combined set of transferred embryos with known clinical outcome. The model was somewhat effective in that we found a relative increase of 30% for implantation in the model-selected group of embryos. There… Show more

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Cited by 62 publications
(44 citation statements)
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“…In addition, analytical variations resulting from differences in study design, study size, clinical end-points, frequency and/or duration of image acquisition, and the definition and number of morphokinetic variables may account for the lack of agreement (reviewed by Chen et al, 2013;Kaser and Racowsky, 2014). These multiple sources of variation may account for the overlapping ranges reported across studies for viable and non-viable outcomes and explain why proposed morphokineticbased models of embryo selection have not been transferable to other clinics (Campbell et al, 2013a;Conaghan et al, 2013;Kirkegaard et al, 2014;Meseguer et al, 2011). It would seem that generating universally applicable reference ranges is more complicated than first anticipated, and that establishing a universal algorithm for selection of the best embryos may not be feasible.…”
Section: Article In Pressmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, analytical variations resulting from differences in study design, study size, clinical end-points, frequency and/or duration of image acquisition, and the definition and number of morphokinetic variables may account for the lack of agreement (reviewed by Chen et al, 2013;Kaser and Racowsky, 2014). These multiple sources of variation may account for the overlapping ranges reported across studies for viable and non-viable outcomes and explain why proposed morphokineticbased models of embryo selection have not been transferable to other clinics (Campbell et al, 2013a;Conaghan et al, 2013;Kirkegaard et al, 2014;Meseguer et al, 2011). It would seem that generating universally applicable reference ranges is more complicated than first anticipated, and that establishing a universal algorithm for selection of the best embryos may not be feasible.…”
Section: Article In Pressmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The timing of key parameters from time-lapse monitoring for predictions of blastocyst formation [11][12][13] aneuploidy, [14,15], and, in some cases, implantation [16][17][18] have been investigated. Various models based on specific developmental milestones and phenotypes have been built [9].…”
Section: Available Time-lapse Systems and Potential Benefitsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on their results, the authors did not recommend routine application of the original model but proposed each clinic to develop their own predictive algorithm. Another study, conducted by Kirkegaard et al (2014), tested the Conaghan model. The Conaghan model (Conaghan et al, 2013) predicts blastocyst formation using two early kinetic markers, CC 2 and S 2 .…”
Section: External Validationmentioning
confidence: 99%