2016
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2782455
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Linear Credit Risk Models

Abstract: We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors. The price of a CDS option can be uniformly approximated by polynomials in the factors. Multi-name models can produce simultaneous defaults, generate positively as well as negatively correlated default intensities, and accommodate stochastic interest rates. A calibration study … Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…The model proposed in this paper also shares some similarities with the linear hypercube model model of Ackerer and Filipović (2019) in the context of credit risk. Specifically, they specify a survival process whose drift is a linear function of a diffusive factor process with linear drift.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 84%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The model proposed in this paper also shares some similarities with the linear hypercube model model of Ackerer and Filipović (2019) in the context of credit risk. Specifically, they specify a survival process whose drift is a linear function of a diffusive factor process with linear drift.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 84%
“…In our setup, the dividend rate is a linear function of a diffusive factor process with linear drift, which has to be specified such that the stock price is positive and the dividend rate non-negative. The stock price, whose drift is linear in the dividend rate, therefore plays a similar role as the survival process in Ackerer and Filipović (2019), but with the important difference that the stock price has a martingale part while the survival process is absolutely continuous. This martingale part requires special care and, in particular, rules out the factor process specification of the linear hypercube model of Ackerer and Filipović (2019).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…11 In the more general polynomial framework described in Section 2, it is possible to lower bound the short rate. For example, one can use compactly supported polynomial processes, similarly as in Ackerer and Filipović (2020). 12 For a constant > 0, the dynamics of (̃0 ,̃1 ) = ( 0 , 1 ) is given by…”
Section: E N D N O T E Smentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Because of their inherent tractability, polynomial jump diffusions have played a prominent and growing role in a wide range of applications in finance. Examples include interest rates (Delbaen and Shirakawa 2002, Zhou 2003, Filipović et al 2017, stochastic volatility (Gourieroux andJasiak 2006, Ackerer et al 2018), exchange rates (Larsen and Sørensen 2007), life insurance liabilities (Biagini and Zhang 2016), variance swaps , credit risk (Ackerer and Filipović 2020a), dividend futures (Filipović and Willems 2019), commodities and electricity (Filipović et al 2018), stochastic portfolio theory (Cuchiero 2019), and economic equilibrium (Guasoni and Wong 2018). Properties of polynomial jump diffusions can also be brought to bear on computational and statistical methods, such as generalized method of moments and martingale estimating functions (Forman and Sørensen 2008), variance reduction (Cuchiero et al 2012), cubature , and quantization (Callegaro et al 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%