2009
DOI: 10.1021/es900845v
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Linking Material Flow Analysis and Resource Policy via Future Scenarios of In-Use Stock: An Example for Copper

Abstract: A key aspect to achieving long-term resource sustainability is the development of methodologies that explore future material cycles and their environmental impact. Using a novel dynamic in-use stock model and scenario analysis, I analyzed the multilevel global copper cycle over the next 100 years. In 1990, the industrialized world had an in-use copper stock about twice as large as the developing world and a per capita in-use stock of about six times as large. By 2100, the developing world will have an in-use c… Show more

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Cited by 87 publications
(55 citation statements)
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“…Most of these studies applied MFA as a systematic evaluation of flows and stock over time or for a given year. Ayres et al (2002) provided a pioneer perspective on the lifecycle of Cu and on the future of Cu recycling [24]; Graedel et al (2004) presented a first characterization of global and regional Cu cycles [25]; Gerst (2009) built on MFA results a perspective on possible Cu IUS scenarios [26]. More recently, Glöser et al (2013) applied dynamic MFA to global Cu flows, providing novel information on recycling indicators [15].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most of these studies applied MFA as a systematic evaluation of flows and stock over time or for a given year. Ayres et al (2002) provided a pioneer perspective on the lifecycle of Cu and on the future of Cu recycling [24]; Graedel et al (2004) presented a first characterization of global and regional Cu cycles [25]; Gerst (2009) built on MFA results a perspective on possible Cu IUS scenarios [26]. More recently, Glöser et al (2013) applied dynamic MFA to global Cu flows, providing novel information on recycling indicators [15].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Hubbert's type of model used in singular mode is not applicable for cobalt because of cobalt's dependence on the extraction of other metals (Sverdrup andRagnarsdottir 2014, 2015). Mass flow analysis models have been used earlier for sustainability assessments for cobalt (Alonso et al 2007;Alonso 2010;Halada et al 2008;Gerst 2009;Elshakaki and Graedel 2013;Glöser et al 2013a, b). As flow models are easy to use, but do have some shortcomings we need to be aware of.…”
Section: Earlier Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most mass flow analysis models are linear in their fundamental function. Many of them are step-by-step mass balanced advanced 1 year at a time in spreadsheets (Gerst 2009;Mohr et al 2014a, b).…”
Section: Earlier Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Secondly, material stocks were used as a proxy for infrastructure stocks, since it reflects not only the level of infrastructure development but also the quantity of material accumulation that has longterm effects on CO2 emissions [22][23][24]. In this study, a total of 13 types of infrastructure, including residential buildings, non-residential buildings, highways, roads (Class 1 to 4), railways (wooden sleeper and concrete sleeper), tap-water pipelines, sewerage pipelines, and gas pipelines, were considered for analysis due to their large share in total infrastructure and data availability.…”
Section: Materials Stocks Of Infrastructure and Co 2 Emissionsmentioning
confidence: 99%