Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems

Integrated modelling of social-ecological systems for climate change adaptation

“…Naivinit et al, 2010). In New Zealand, biophysical models were used to illustrate potential impacts from climate change and were interpreted to identify dynamic adaptation pathways and plausible scenarios (Cradock-Henry et al, 2018;Frame et al, 2018;Steger et al, 2021).…”

What to expect from alternative management strategies to conserve seabirds? Hints from a dynamic modelling framework applied to an endangered population

“…In fact, dynamic modelling is currently considered a fundamental tool in ecology to predict the future consequences of alternative management scenarios and, therefore, could be used as a complementary method to PVAs (Warwick‐Evans et al ., 2016; Weller et al ., 2016; Crookes & Blignaut, 2019; Drechsler, 2020). Several types of dynamic models have been used to evaluate and predict the outcome of contrasting scenarios in the scope of conservation ecology (Banos‐González et al ., 2016; Morinha et al ., 2017; Li et al ., 2020), ranging from the classical Lotka‐Volterra model in the 1920s and population dynamics in the 1950s, to the current highly complex and integrative socio‐ecological and environmental ones (Jørgensen & Fath, 2011; Buchadas et al ., 2017; Moon et al ., 2019; Steger et al ., 2021).…”

Social simulation for socio-ecological systems

“…It can also integrate processes that occur at different scales of time and space, which is important because the issues of interest, as well as the underlying dynamics and process that give rise to them, are guaranteed to operate on multiple scales in systems as vast as SES. And finally, but of no less importance, it can integrate stakeholder perspectives and integrate with stakeholders -to the point where participatory modelling has become widely accepted in SES modelling [134]. All of this makes ABM particularly well-suited for use as support in participatory policy processes such as those we touched on in the previous chapter and are described in figure 3.1.…”

“…This doesn't mean science and its methods have no place at the table, just that it needs to make space for other perspectives (and we mustn't forget that science is not unbiased in the first place [66]). This opens the door for modelling approaches that also allow stakeholder participation and ABM has been quite successful in this regard [134].…”

“…On top of this, there is always a risk that the purpose of the model will be misunderstood and the model used for purposes it was never intended for [6,43]. In the context of policy for SES, this distinct pitfall can be particularly easy to fall into since policy makers tend to expect predictive models [6], while most ABM for SES are built for the primary purpose of understanding the system [134].…”