Abstract:We examine the relative yields of Treasuries and municipals using a generalized model that includes liquidity as a state factor. Using a unique transaction dataset, we are able to estimate the liquidity risk of municipals and its effect on bond yields. We find that a substantial portion of the maturity spread between long-and short-maturity municipal bonds is attributable to the liquidity premium. Controlling for the effects of default and liquidity risk, we obtain implicit tax rates very close to the statutor… Show more
“…For the liquidity cost measures, the average of the Amihud measure is 24% on a $ 1million trade and median roundtrip cost is 0.68%, which is relative higher but comparable to Schwert 2017 In terms of the control variables, we find that the percentage of par value held by P&C insurers with the findings from Longstaff, Mithal and Neis (2005) and Wang et al (2008). It supports the argument made by Schwert (2017) that long-maturity bonds facing a higher transaction cost.…”
Section: Descriptive Statisticssupporting
confidence: 84%
“…Note that Schwert 2017 illiquid. 78 The average yield in Wang et al (2008)'s sample for years 2000-2004 is 3.88%, and the liquidity spread accounts for 9% to 19% of total yields.…”
Section: Descriptive Statisticsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our paper contributes and is related to the literature on the determinants of the yield spread of municipal bonds. Wang, Wu and Zhang (2008) and Ang, Bhansali and Xing (2010) examine the default risk, liquidity risk and tax component of municipal bond yield spread, and find that all three components are priced. Longstaff (2011) demonstrates that tax risk is a systematic asset pricing factors and it helps resolve the muni-bond puzzle.…”
We explore the impact of capital adequacy requirements on financial institutions' risk-taking behavior from a new perspective. Specifically, we show that one important feature of the riskbased capital (RBC) system, a built-in diversification benefit in aggregating risk categories, induces moral hazard. We find that insurers that face lower RBC costs of fixed-income (FI) investment purchase more risky FI securities. Using Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Sandy as exogenous shocks to RBC cost, we find that the insurers that suffered more in the two disasters took more risk in their FI investments and that their overall risk increased. These results provide an important regulatory implication for minimum capital calculation in capital regulation regimes.
“…For the liquidity cost measures, the average of the Amihud measure is 24% on a $ 1million trade and median roundtrip cost is 0.68%, which is relative higher but comparable to Schwert 2017 In terms of the control variables, we find that the percentage of par value held by P&C insurers with the findings from Longstaff, Mithal and Neis (2005) and Wang et al (2008). It supports the argument made by Schwert (2017) that long-maturity bonds facing a higher transaction cost.…”
Section: Descriptive Statisticssupporting
confidence: 84%
“…Note that Schwert 2017 illiquid. 78 The average yield in Wang et al (2008)'s sample for years 2000-2004 is 3.88%, and the liquidity spread accounts for 9% to 19% of total yields.…”
Section: Descriptive Statisticsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our paper contributes and is related to the literature on the determinants of the yield spread of municipal bonds. Wang, Wu and Zhang (2008) and Ang, Bhansali and Xing (2010) examine the default risk, liquidity risk and tax component of municipal bond yield spread, and find that all three components are priced. Longstaff (2011) demonstrates that tax risk is a systematic asset pricing factors and it helps resolve the muni-bond puzzle.…”
We explore the impact of capital adequacy requirements on financial institutions' risk-taking behavior from a new perspective. Specifically, we show that one important feature of the riskbased capital (RBC) system, a built-in diversification benefit in aggregating risk categories, induces moral hazard. We find that insurers that face lower RBC costs of fixed-income (FI) investment purchase more risky FI securities. Using Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Sandy as exogenous shocks to RBC cost, we find that the insurers that suffered more in the two disasters took more risk in their FI investments and that their overall risk increased. These results provide an important regulatory implication for minimum capital calculation in capital regulation regimes.
“…He finds that these municipal yields display the same tendency to be too high relative to Treasury yields, concluding that default risk does not explain the muni puzzle. Wang et al (2008) introduce default and liquidity components into Green's model and show that the estimated tax rate is stable across maturity and credit rating. command a somewhat larger liquidity discount than uninsured bonds, and that this difference results in the so-called "yield inversion" at the end of our sample period, when some of the monolines are nearly bankrupt and the default components of insured and uninsured bonds become more or less equalized.…”
We develop an intensity-based model of municipal yields, making simultaneous use of the credit default swap premiums of the insurers and both insured and uninsured municipal bond transactions. We estimate the model individually for 61 municipal issuers by exploiting the dramatic decline in credit quality of the bond insurers from July 2007 to June 2008, and decompose the municipal yield spread based on the estimated parameters. The decomposition reveals a dominant role of the liquidity component as well as interactions between liquidity and default similar to those modeled by Chen et al. [Chen H, Cui R, He Z, Milbradt K (2018) Quantifying liquidity and default risks of corporate bonds over the business cycle. Rev. Financial Stud. 31(3):852–897.] for corporate bonds. Toward the end of the sample period, our model also reproduces the “yield inversion” phenomenon documented in the literature. This paper was accepted by Neng Wang, finance.
“… Other important research on municipal debt markets includes Yawitz, Maloney, and Ederington (1985), Green (1993), Green and Oedegaard (1997), Chalmers (1998), Downing and Zhang (2004), Nanda and Singh (2004), Green (2007), Green, Hollifield, and Schürhoff (2007a, 2007b), Green, Li, and Schürhoff (2007), Wang, Wu, and Zhang (2008), and Ang et al (2010). Important papers addressing the impact of taxation on bond prices and trading strategies include Livingston (1979), Constantinides and Ingersoll (1982), Schaefer (1982), Litzenberger and Rolfo (1984), Jordan (1984), Dybvig and Ross (1986), Dammon and Green (1987), Graham (2003), and Dammon, Spatt, and Zhang (2004). …”
We study the marginal tax rate incorporated into short-term tax-exempt municipal rates using a unique new data set from the municipal swap market. By applying an affine term-structure framework, we are able to identify both the marginal tax rate and the credit/liquidity spread in one-week tax-exempt rates. Furthermore, we obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the risk premia associated with these variables. The average marginal tax rate during the sample period is 41.6 percent. We find that the marginal tax rate is significantly positively related to returns in the stock and bond markets. The risk premium associated with the marginal tax rate is negative, consistent with the strong contracyclical nature of aftertax fixed-income cash flows which increase in bad states of the economy as personal income and the effective marginal tax rates applied to those cash flows decline.
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