Liver stiffness-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS model) predicts variceal rebleeding for cirrhotic patients

Abstract

Purpose The liver stiffness-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS model) can identify a high risk of decompensated events in cirrhotic patients. We aimed to evaluate the value of the LSPS model as a risk stratification strategy in the secondary prevention for cirrhotic patients with esophageal and gastric variceal bleeding (EGVB). Methods Consecutive EGVB patients who underwent liver stiffness measurement by acoustic radiation force impulse, platelet count and ultrasonography were enrolled between January 2013 and December 2019. We calculated the LSPS of all patients and followed up for over 2 years. The primary outcome was rebleeding. Transplant-free survival and overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) were the secondary outcomes. Results A total of 131 patients were analyzed. The median value of the LSPS model is 0.1879. We developed risk stratification based on the LSPS model and divided the patients into two groups: the high-LSPS (LSPS > 0.1879) group and the low-LSPS (LSPS ≤ 0.1879) group. Sixty-two (47.33%) patients suffered rebleeding, in which there were 21 (31.92%) patients with low LSPS and 41 (63.08%) patients with high LSPS (hazard ratio 2.883; 95% confidence interval, 1.723-4.822, P < 0.001). For the whole cohort, the rates of transplant-free survival and OHE were consistently similar between the two groups at 2 years. Conclusion The LSPS is a reliable, noninvasive method for the detection of a high risk of rebleeding for the secondary prevention of EGVB.