Abstract:Abstract:The authors define a new semiparametric Archimedean copula family having a flexible dependence structure. The family's generator is a local interpolation of existing generators. It has locally-defined dependence parameters. The authors present a penalized constrained least-squares method to estimate and smooth these parameters. They illustrate the flexibility of their dependence model in a bivariate survival example.Estimation de la dépendance locale sur base de copules archimédiennes semiparamétrique… Show more
“…Copula parameters are usually estimated by maximum likelihood (Joe 1997), but can be obtained via robust and minimum distance estimators (Tsukahara 2005;Mendes et al 2007), or semi-parametrically (Vandenhende and Lambert 2005). Goodness of fit may be assessed visually by means of pp-plots or based on some formal goodness-of-fit (GOF) test, usually based on the minimization of some criterion.…”
“…Copula parameters are usually estimated by maximum likelihood (Joe 1997), but can be obtained via robust and minimum distance estimators (Tsukahara 2005;Mendes et al 2007), or semi-parametrically (Vandenhende and Lambert 2005). Goodness of fit may be assessed visually by means of pp-plots or based on some formal goodness-of-fit (GOF) test, usually based on the minimization of some criterion.…”
“…A (spline‐based) non‐parametric estimate of ϕ ( ⋅ ) was first proposed in Lambert (). Here, we present another formulation with superior properties and embedding the proposal made by Vandenhende & Lambert () where the function g ( ⋅ ) in was piecewise linear. It can be written as where S ( u ) = − log( − log( u )) is the quantile function of the extreme value distribution and is a linear combination of K cubic B‐splines associated to equidistant knots on ( S ( ε ), S (1 − ε )) for a small quantity ε ( = 10 − 6 , say).…”
Section: Spline Estimation Of An Archimedean Copulamentioning
We propose a flexible copula model to describe changes with a covariate in the dependence structure of (conditionally exchangeable) random variables. The starting point is a spline approximation to the generator of an Archimedean copula. Changes in the dependence structure with a covariate x are modelled by flexible regression of the spline coefficients on x. The performances and properties of the spline estimate of the reference generator and the abilities of these conditional models to approximate conditional copulas are studied through simulations. Inference is made using Bayesian arguments with posterior distributions explored using importance sampling or adaptive MCMC algorithms. The modelling strategy is illustrated with two examples.
“…For a comprehensive introduction on the theoretical aspects of copulas, the reader is referred to the monographs by Joe [8] and Nelsen [13]. Applications of copulas for modeling purposes are to be found in the works of Cherubini and Luciano [3], Vandenhende and Lambert [18] and Hennessy and Lapan [7], among others. For tests of goodnessof-fit for copulas, see [2,5,6].…”
In this article, copulas associated to multivariate conditional distributions in an Archimedean model are characterized. It is shown that this popular class of dependence structures is closed under the operation of conditioning, but that the associated conditional copula has a different analytical form in general. It is also demonstrated that the extremal copula for conditional Archimedean distributions is no longer the Fréchet upper bound, but rather a member of the Clayton family. Properties of these conditional distributions as well as conditional versions of tail dependence indices are also considered.
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