2022
DOI: 10.1214/21-ejs1963
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Localising change points in piecewise polynomials of general degrees

Abstract: In this paper we are concerned with a sequence of univariate random variables with piecewise polynomial means and independent sub-Gaussian noise. The underlying polynomials are allowed to be of arbitrary but fixed degrees. All the other model parameters are allowed to vary depending on the sample size.We propose a two-step estimation procedure based on the 0 -penalisation and provide upper bounds on the localisation error. We complement these results by deriving global information-theoretic lower bounds, which… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Changepoint detection . In modeling the evolution of dynamic systems, an important perspective is to detect structural changes (Padilla et al, 2022; Wang et al, 2021; Yi et al, 2022). Traditional changepoint detection methods usually focus on changes in particular features of the underlying population; and in the analysis of network growth, reliable detection methods for changes in network features or sudden shifts are also important to understand the distributional structure of the evolving network.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Changepoint detection . In modeling the evolution of dynamic systems, an important perspective is to detect structural changes (Padilla et al, 2022; Wang et al, 2021; Yi et al, 2022). Traditional changepoint detection methods usually focus on changes in particular features of the underlying population; and in the analysis of network growth, reliable detection methods for changes in network features or sudden shifts are also important to understand the distributional structure of the evolving network.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In additiona to the applications considered in Section 3, the general framework can be readily applied to more complicated cases, for example, the signal within the segments is non-linear [38], structure changes is in the moments or quantiles [14,1], and other structure changes such as and autocovariance in time series. Moreover, as mentioned earlier the gaussianity condition on the noise can be relaxed as well [13].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A related problem to detecting changes-in-slope is that of fitting piecewise polynomial functions. Yu, Chatterjee, and Xu (2022) present a method for detecting such changes by minimizing a measure of fit to the data with an L 0 penalty, which is the same as used by CPOP. However they do not require the fitted polynomial functions to be continuous at the change-points, which means that it is simple to minimize this criteria using standard dynamic For trend filtering we chose the L 1 penalty value based on crossvalidation (middle left) or so that it obtained the correct number of changes (middle right).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%