BACKGROUND: Although respiratory exacerbations are common in patients with quadriplegic cerebral palsy (CP), little is known about the factors that are related to increased exacerbation risk. This study aimed to identify the clinical and pulmonary function variables signaling risk of exacerbation in this type of patient. METHODS: Thirty-one children and young adults with quadriplegic CP underwent a comprehensive history, physical examination, and pulmonary function test, including arterial blood gas analysis, airway resistance using the interrupter technique, and home overnight S pO 2 monitoring. Subjects were divided into 2 groups depending on the number of respiratory exacerbations reported during the year before study entry: frequent exacerbators (ie, > 2 exacerbations) and infrequent exacerbators (ie, < 2 exacerbations). RESULTS: The frequent exacerbators were more likely to require hospitalization due to respiratory disorders compared with the infrequent exacerbators (13/14 vs 9/17, P ؍ .02). Respiratory exacerbation was found to be associated with diagnosis of gastroesophageal reflux (adjusted odds ratio of 23.95 for subjects with confirmed diagnosis, P ؍ .02) and higher P aCO 2 levels (adjusted odds ratio of 12.60 for every 5-mm Hg increase in P aCO 2 , P ؍ .05). Subjects with P aCO 2 > 35 mm Hg showed an exacerbation odds ratio of 15.2 (95% CI 1.5-152.5, P ؍ .01). CONCLUSIONS: Gastroesophageal reflux and increased P aCO 2 can be considered simple, clinically useful markers of increased exacerbation risk in young subjects with quadriplegic CP.