2015
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.1506.04066
|View full text |Cite
Preprint
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Long-term non-linear predictability of ENSO events over the 20th century

H. F. Astudillo,
R. Abarca-del-Rio,
F. A. Borotto

Abstract: We show that the monthly recorded history of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), a descriptor of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, can be well described as a dynamic system that supports an average nonlinear predictability well beyond the spring barrier. The predictability is strongly linked to a detailed knowledge of the topology of the attractor obtained by embedding the SOI index in a wavelets base state space. Using the state orbits on the attractor we show that the information contain… Show more

Help me understand this report
View published versions

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...

Citation Types

0
0
0

Publication Types

Select...

Relationship

0
0

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 0 publications
references
References 26 publications
0
0
0
Order By: Relevance

No citations

Set email alert for when this publication receives citations?