2022
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph191710603
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Long-Time Trend of Colorectal Cancer Mortality Attributable to High Processed Meat Intake in China and a Bayesian Projection from 2020 to 2030: A Model-Based Study

Abstract: Colorectal cancer is among the leading causes of cancer worldwide. Processed meat was known to be positively associated with a higher risk of gastrointestinal cancer. This study focused on the long-time trends of colorectal cancer mortality attributable to high processed meat intake in China from 1990 to 2019 and the projection for the next decade based on data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. We used an age-period-cohort model to fit the long-time trend. The joinpoint model was conducted… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…The study found that red meat consumption was associated with an increased risk of mortality from multiple hematological and solid cancers; an increase of 100 g of red meat per day was associated with an 11%-51% increase in the risk of multiple cancers, while an increase of 50 g per day of processed meat consumption was associated with an 8%-72% increase in cancers 33 . From 1990 to 2019, an increase in colorectal cancer mortality due to a high intake of processed meat was observed for both sexes in China; thus, gradually reducing the intake of processed meat may be an effective way to reduce colorectal cancer mortality 34 . We found that the current cancer risk corresponding to Chinese men's and women's BMI was within the controllable range.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The study found that red meat consumption was associated with an increased risk of mortality from multiple hematological and solid cancers; an increase of 100 g of red meat per day was associated with an 11%-51% increase in the risk of multiple cancers, while an increase of 50 g per day of processed meat consumption was associated with an 8%-72% increase in cancers 33 . From 1990 to 2019, an increase in colorectal cancer mortality due to a high intake of processed meat was observed for both sexes in China; thus, gradually reducing the intake of processed meat may be an effective way to reduce colorectal cancer mortality 34 . We found that the current cancer risk corresponding to Chinese men's and women's BMI was within the controllable range.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several risk factors for CRC have been found, including inherited genetic variants such as Lynch syndrome and familial adenomatous polyposis, a personal history of IBD, and family history of CRC. Additionally, lack of physical exercise, diet rich in red and processed meat, scant consumption of fruits, vegetables, fiber, and alcohol and tobacco use are modifiable risk factors [ 128 ].…”
Section: Link Between Periodontitis/oral Bacteria and Colorectal Cancersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer around the world and it causes the second most cancer-related deaths [1]. Currently, in China, the proportion of elderly patients is increasing and more and more extremely elderly patients are being encountered in routine clinical practice [2]. For patients with colorectal cancer, laparoscopic surgery could result in faster recovery and shorter hospital stay [3,4].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%