Abstract-Many studies have suggested that African Americans have a higher prevalence of hypertension than whites. The authors conducted a prospective study of hypertension incidence from 1987-1988 to 1994-1995 in 140 African American and 237 white adults aged 30 to 54 years at baseline. The study participants were screened for participation in the Trials of Hypertension Prevention, phase 1, an 18-month lifestyle modification intervention trial aimed at lowering blood pressure, at the Baltimore Clinical Center. Baseline age, blood pressure, body mass index, and heart rate were similar in the two groups. Compared with whites, however, African Americans had a lower percentage of men, college graduates, and households with an income Ն$40 000 per year. African Americans also had lower mean urinary sodium to creatinine ratio and potassium to creatinine ratio, but a similar sodium to potassium ratio. The incidence of hypertension (blood pressure Ն160/95 mm Hg and/or taking antihypertensive medication) over 7 years of follow-up was nearly identical: 25.7% in African Americans and 25.3% in whites. Baseline age, gender, blood pressure, and heart rate were all associated with the incidence of hypertension. Even after adjustment for these covariables, the risk of hypertension was not higher in African Americans compared with whites. These results indicate that middle-aged African Americans and whites have a similar risk of developing hypertension given the same age, initial blood pressure, and body mass index at baseline. (Hypertension. 1998;31:1130-1135.)Key Words: blacks Ⅲ blood pressure Ⅲ ethnicity Ⅲ incidence H ypertension is an important public health challenge in the United States, especially among African Americans. In general, African Americans are at higher risk of hypertension and its complications than are other ethnic groups. [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] One of the first studies to compare BP between African Americans and whites in a community sample was conducted in Muscogee County, Georgia, by Comstock. 8 In his study, Comstock found that African Americans had higher BP levels than whites at every age studied. Many subsequent investigations, including several national surveys of US residents conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics, confirmed that African Americans have higher BP levels as well as a higher prevalence of hypertension than whites. 9 -12 In most studies, the prevalence of hypertension was about 50% higher in African Americans than in whites.Several longitudinal studies have also shown that African Americans have a higher incidence of hypertension than whites.1-5 However, this racial difference in the risk of hypertension may be modified by age. In the NHANES I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study, the incidence of hypertension in African Americans was over two times higher than in whites among those aged 25 to 34 years. In contrast, the incidence of hypertension did not differ between African Americans and whites who were 55 years of age or older.1 In other studies conducted in young adults, th...