“…Here, the baseline hazard was 0.881 for very preterm birth and 0.442 for preterm birth, βX equals 0.187*lower education + −0.504*multiparous without previous preterm birth + 0.432*multiparous with previous preterm birth + 0.225*smoking + 1.41*triplet + 0.439*monochorionic + 0.631*CL < 30 mm + 0.206*randomization to progesterone, and βX = 0.192. When the above is applied to a non-smoking, highly educated, multiparous woman with a dichorionic twin pregnancy who had no previous preterm birth, no progesterone treatment, and a CL < 30 mm we find a risk of 1 -0.442^exp (−0.504 + 0.631 -0.192) = 54% of Since women with a short cervix early in pregnancy have a higher chance of spontaneous preterm birth than those with the same length later in pregnancy, 5,19,22,23 19 and Fox (n = 309) showed a mean CL of 42 mm at 16 weeks and 40 mm at 20 weeks (90% CI 34 to 50 mm and 31 to 49 mm, respectively). 9 In our study, the mean CL of women who delivered at term was 45 mm at 16 to 21 weeks (90% CI 30 to 60 mm), and did not change according to the gestational age at which the CL was measured.…”