Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach

Sharmina, Maria

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.009

Cited by 29 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…In practice, backcasting is usually combined with foresighting (Gaziulusoy et al. ; Sharmina ), a scenario method characterized as “exploratory” because it answers the “what‐if” questions (Börjeson et al. ).…”

Section: Backcasting and Eco‐design Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating Backcasting and Eco‐Design for the Circular Economy: The BECE Framework

Mendoza

Sharmina

Gallego‐Schmid

et al. 2017

J of Industrial Ecology

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268

163

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SummaryThe circular economy (CE) is essential for decoupling economic growth from resource consumption and environmental impacts. However, effective implementation requires a systemic change across supply chains, involving both technological and nontechnological innovations. Frameworks are beginning to emerge to foster CE thinking in organizations. However, literature review carried out as part of this research has revealed gaps in their ability to fulfil CE requirements. Furthermore, few frameworks provide support on how CE requirements may be implemented. To address these issues, this article presents a new framework, BECE (backcasting and eco-design for the circular economy), to ensure that businesses can implement CE requirements more readily. BECE empowers organizations to tackle the CE holistically by embedding the concept into corporate decision making and by bringing operational and systems thinking together, thus increasing the likelihood of successful implementation. The potential of the BECE framework was tested through a pilot workshop focusing on the development of a CE business model through redesign of products and supply chains. Using vacuum cleaners as an illustrative case study, several product design and supply-chain alternatives were identified, including the development of scenarios and action plans for their implementation at the business level. Although the case study focuses on a particular product, the BECE framework is generic and applicable across different products and business sectors. Keywords:business model innovation circular economy closed-loop supply chain industrial ecology product-service systems resource efficiency Supporting information is linked to this article on the JIE website

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Section: Backcasting and Eco‐design Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating Backcasting and Eco‐Design for the Circular Economy: The BECE Framework

Mendoza

Sharmina

Gallego‐Schmid

et al. 2017

J of Industrial Ecology

Self Cite

268

163

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“… Mitrova (2014) , Pristupa and Mol (2015) , Proskuryakova and Filippov (2015) , evaluated the country's energy system sustainability, with a focus on renewable energy, natural gas, and nuclear power. Both Tursoy and Resatoglu (2016) and Sharmina (2017) made carbon emissions reduction and energy efficiency improvement scenarios for Russia. Bruusgaard (2006) , Bogoviz et al (2017) , Ragulina et al (2018) , Bogoviz et al (2019) used some ES indicators to demonstrate historical trends on ES performance in Russia.…”

Section: Energy Security Conceptualisationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Establishing and comparing energy security trends in resource-rich exporting nations (Russia and the Caspian Sea region)

Karatayev

Hall

2020

Resources Policy

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In the international arena, it is often the case that in countries which largely depend on foreign resources, energy security, and its key components i.e. security of energy supply, environment, technology, geopolitical and economic factors, is a subject of concern. However, due to the abundance of fossil fuel resources in resource-rich exporting nations, there is a lack of understanding of the risks around energy security and accordingly often a policy vacuum. Conceptualising energy security from different geopolitical vantage points will allow future concerns around energy supply security, climate change, and regional economic crises to be evaluated. By using policy documents and developing a time series approach and normalized z-scores for a range of comparable metrics this article compares the energy security performance in six Caspian Sea countries individually and collectively. The article results show that Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan made significant progress in energy security since 1990, while energy security indicators in Russia, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan regressed. Iran has a leading position in energy security performance, while Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have the lowest level of the energy security indicators compare to other region countries. This article both contributes a replicable definition of energy security that can be undertaken for other global regions, and begins to incorporate diversification and renewables development to enhance domestic energy security assessment.

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“…However, more efforts are yet needed to develop, implement and apply comprehensive nexus frameworks, incorporate overlooked drivers and regions, expand and diversify nexus toolboxes, mainstream nexus approaches into policy making, governance and management and coordinate knowledge integration and stakeholder engagement across sectors (Liu et al 2018). By comparison, backcasting provides a more comprehensive approach for achieving system resilience and sustainability in climate change mitigation (Sharmina 2017). Backcasting is considered suitable due to its applicability at various temporal and spatial scales, compatibility with various tools and methods, and its ability to support various forms of stakeholder engagement (Quist et al 2011;Van der Voorn et al 2017).…”

Section: Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Envisioning carbon-free land use futures for Sweden: a scenario study on conflicts and synergies between environmental policy goals

et al. 2020

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In climate change mitigation, backcasting scenarios are often used for exploring options for achieving a single environmental goal, albeit at the expense of other goals. This paper assesses potential conflicts and synergies between multiple environmental policy goals based on four future scenarios on Swedish rural land use, assuming zero GHG emissions in 2060. The assessment shows that goal conflicts are apparent, and policy makers need to make trade-offs between goals. The choice of strategy for dealing with these trade-offs yields conflicts or synergies. The assessment shows that a transition to zero GHG emissions provides opportunities for Sweden to shift to carbon free land-use planning. Overall, there are alternative ways with different underlying assumptions to achieve zero GHG emissions, which will feed discussions on new opportunities to overcome multi-scale and multi-sectoral goal conflicts. Multi-target backcasting scenarios are considered more suited to account for the multi-dimensional aspects of goal conflicts. This requires a comprehensive multi-target backcasting approach, which combines the strengths of multicriteria analysis, nexus approaches and backcasting, for supporting a transition to zero GHG emissions.

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Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach

Cited by 29 publications

References 39 publications

Integrating Backcasting and Eco‐Design for the Circular Economy: The BECE Framework

Integrating Backcasting and Eco‐Design for the Circular Economy: The BECE Framework

Establishing and comparing energy security trends in resource-rich exporting nations (Russia and the Caspian Sea region)

Envisioning carbon-free land use futures for Sweden: a scenario study on conflicts and synergies between environmental policy goals

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