Macedonia: Timely Prevention Works

Abstract

Three drivers led to war in Bosnia: breakup of Yugoslavia, Milošević's political ambitions and military capabilities, and ethnic nationalism. The first of these affected Macedonia. The other two were attenuated. Macedonia has mostly avoided war and made significant economic progress, with help from the UN, the EU, and the United States as well as decentralization and power sharing between Macedonians and Albanians. Greece's refusal to accept Macedonia's name, however, has stalled entry into NATO, slowed progress toward the EU, and aggravated ethnic tensions. A now agreed solution to the "name" issue would be a major gain for Macedonia and the region, if implemented in both countries. The door will then open for the "Republic of North Macedonia" to enter NATO and begin EU accession talks. Keywords Conflict prevention • "Name" issue • Ohrid Framework Agreement • "Northern Macedonia" Today's Macedonia owes its distinct and separate existence as a political entity to Socialist Yugoslavia. During the Yugoslav monarchy between the world wars, what is now Macedonia was initially the banovina (province) of Southern Serbia, which became Vardar Banovina in 1929. It was only after World War II that the Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia came into existence. In Tito's way of thinking, Macedonian identity-based CHAPTER 4