2022
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002744
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Machine Learning Emulation of Urban Land Surface Processes

Abstract: Can we improve the modeling of urban land surface processes with machine learning (ML)? A prior comparison of urban land surface models (ULSMs) found that no single model is “best” at predicting all common surface fluxes. Here, we develop an urban neural network (UNN) trained on the mean predicted fluxes from 22 ULSMs at one site. The UNN emulates the mean output of ULSMs accurately. When compared to a reference ULSM (Town Energy Balance; TEB), the UNN has greater accuracy relative to flux observations, less c… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Current research highlights challenges with NN emulators coupled to Earth system models, reporting degraded performance and unstable simulations under some circumstances (Brenowitz & Bretherton, 2019; Rasp et al., 2018). While our recent experience in emulating gravity wave drag (Chantry et al., 2021) and urban land surface (Meyer, Grimmond, et al., 2022) schemes was positive, long coupled evaluations are required to better assess these type of models for operational use.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Current research highlights challenges with NN emulators coupled to Earth system models, reporting degraded performance and unstable simulations under some circumstances (Brenowitz & Bretherton, 2019; Rasp et al., 2018). While our recent experience in emulating gravity wave drag (Chantry et al., 2021) and urban land surface (Meyer, Grimmond, et al., 2022) schemes was positive, long coupled evaluations are required to better assess these type of models for operational use.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The obtained refinement using simulations such as LES can illustrate how mitigation strategies would impact urban comfort, as discussed in [134]. The combinations will further allow predicting local extreme meteorological events more accurately [135].…”
Section: Monitoring Climate Variabilitymentioning
confidence: 95%
“…In SpeedyWeather.jl, interfaces to the model components are exposed to the user. Furthermore, data-driven climate modelling (Rasp et al, 2018;Schneider et al, 2023), which replaces existing model components with machine learning, is more difficult in Fortran due to the lack of established machine learning frameworks (Meyer et al, 2022). In Julia, Flux.jl (Innes et al, 2019) is available for machine learning as well as automatic differentiation with Enzyme (Moses & Churavy, 2020) for gradients-based optimization.…”
Section: Statement Of Needmentioning
confidence: 99%