1979
DOI: 10.1126/science.206.4417.445
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Magnitude of Shear Stress on the San Andreas Fault: Implications of a Stress Measurement Profile at Shallow Depth

Abstract: A profile of measurements of shear stress perpendicular to the San Andreas fault near Palmdale, California, shows a marked increase in stress with distance from the fault. The pattern suggests that shear stress on the fault increases slowly with depth and reaches a value on the order of the average stress released during earthquakes. This result has important implications for both long- and shortterm prediction of large earthquakes.

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Cited by 36 publications
(18 citation statements)
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“…We know from surface exposures that fault gouge of various compositions occurs along active tectonic faults (e.g., the San Andreas Fault). There is a discrepancy between the shear stress required to initiate rock-on-rock sliding and the shear stress on the San Andreas fault and other active tectonic areas (Zoback and Roller 1979). Early laboratory studies (Velde 1969) showed that kaolinite and montmorillonite form a stable mineral assemblage at pressures up to 3.5 GPa and temperatures below 420 ∞C.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…We know from surface exposures that fault gouge of various compositions occurs along active tectonic faults (e.g., the San Andreas Fault). There is a discrepancy between the shear stress required to initiate rock-on-rock sliding and the shear stress on the San Andreas fault and other active tectonic areas (Zoback and Roller 1979). Early laboratory studies (Velde 1969) showed that kaolinite and montmorillonite form a stable mineral assemblage at pressures up to 3.5 GPa and temperatures below 420 ∞C.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Accordingly, the hydraulic fracturing technique was used to make stress measurements in wells ~230 m in depth that were drilled along profiles roughly perpendicular to the fault; one profile was located in the western Mojave desert near Palmdale, where the San Andreas has been locked since the 1857 great earthquake, and the other profile was located in the Gabilan range of central California, where aseismic creep and small magnitude earthquakes characterize the fault's behavior. The Mojave profile data were briefly discussed by Zoback and Roller [1979]. Second, we measured the variation of shear stress with depth in a ~ 1-km-deep hole that was drilled at one of the sites of the Mojave profile located about 4 km from the fault.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this field, one of the most exciting developments in the last few years has been the systematic measurement of in situ stresses using the hydrofrac technique at depths of the order of several hundred meters along horizontal profiles in the vicinity of the San Andreas fault, California [Zoback and Roller, 1979;Keys et al, 1979]. The study by Keys et al in central California was not entirely successful, because the shale formation in which they made their measurements appeared to be too weak to retain substantial deviatoric stresses.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%