OBJECTIVE -The goal of this study was to evaluate whether simple risk factors can be identified that successfully characterize who will heal and who will not heal among patients who have received standard therapy for diabetic neuropathic foot ulcers.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -For this cohort study, we evaluated Ͼ31,000 individuals with a diabetic neuropathic foot ulcer seen in the Curative Health Services System. Using multivariate logistic regression, we evaluated the association between wound size, wound duration, wound grade, and other variables and their effect on whether a patient would heal by the 20th week of care.RESULTS -We demonstrated that wound size, wound duration, and wound grade are all significantly associated with the likelihood of a wound healing by the 20th week of care. In addition, we noted that these associations were not significantly affected by the treating wound care center, whether the unit of analysis was one wound on a patient or all of their wounds, or current adjuvant therapies.CONCLUSIONS -We have shown that three easy-to-measure risk factors are associated with a wound healing. These results should help clinicians understand the likelihood that a wound will heal and help those conducting clinical investigations to design better trials.
Diabetes Care 25:1835-1839, 2002L ower-extremity ulcers are a serious complication of diabetes. More than 16 million people in the U.S. have diabetes, and 15% of them can expect to develop a foot ulcer at some point in their lives (1-3). Diabetic patients admitted to the hospital with lower-extremity ulcers were hospitalized longer on average than those who were hospitalized and did not have ulcers (1,3). Whereas only 4% of the population has diabetes, 46% of those admitted to a hospital with a foot ulcer had diabetes, and half of all lower-extremity amputations in hospitalized patients occurred in diabetic patients (1,3). Those with a lower-extremity amputation have a diminished quality of life and increased health costs, often have many concomitant medical ailments, are more likely to have the contralateral limb amputated, and are more likely to die within the next 5 years than those with no amputation (4,5).There are many pathways for the development of a diabetic foot ulcer. In general, they include a combination of lowerlimb arterial insufficiency, lower-limb diabetic neuropathy, and local trauma (6). About 20% of diabetic patients with foot ulcers will primarily have inadequate arterial blood flow, ϳ50% will primarily have diabetic neuropathy, and ϳ30% will be afflicted with both conditions (1,6). Inadequate arterial blood flow is usually treated by a variety of surgical techniques that improve blood flow (7). For this study, foot ulcers on individuals with diabetes who lack protective sensation and have adequate arterial blood flow to their foot are termed diabetic neuropathic foot ulcers (DNFUs) (8 -10).The treatment of a DNFU usually consists of debridement of necrotic tissue, use of a moist wound dressing, and the use of a device that p...