Managing biodiversity in the Anthropocene: discussing the Nature Futures Framework as a tool for adaptive decision-making for nature under climate change

Abstract

Conservation approaches to social-ecological systems have largely been informed by a framing of preserving nature for its instrumental societal benefits, often ignoring the complex relationship of humans and nature and how climate change might impact these. The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) was developed by the Task Force on scenarios and models of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services as a heuristic approach that appreciates the diverse positive values of nature and its contribution to people. In this overview, we convene a group of experts to discuss the NFF as a tool to inform management in social-ecological systems facing climate change. We focus on three illustrative case studies from the global south across a range of climate change impacts at different ecological levels. We find that the NFF can facilitate the identification of trade-offs between alternative climate adaptation pathways based on different perspectives on the values of nature they emphasize. However, we also identify challenges in adopting the NFF, including how outputs can be translated into modeling frameworks. We conclude that using the NFF to unpack diverse management options under climate change is useful, but that there are still gaps where more work needs to be done to make it fully operational. A key conclusion is that a range of multiple perspectives of people’s values on nature could result in adaptive decision-making and policy that is resilient in responding to climate change impacts in social-ecological systems.

Recipe for a scenario: Moving from vision to actionable pathways towards sustainable futures

“…Other recent advancements on the applications of the NFF include its coupling with quantitative modelling of landscape scenarios (Haga et al 2023) and methodological guidance to develop illustrative scenarios (Durán et al 2023). Recent studies also indicate how the NFF can be applicable to contexts beyond scenarios, including the assessment of management strategies and policies (e.g., Palacios-Abrantes et al 2022; Kim et al 2023; Stronge et al 2023).…”

Beelden van Noordzeenatuur : Visies en perspectieven op de natuur van de Nederlandse Noordzee

“…De instrumentele waarde refereert ook aan de waarde die gehecht wordt aan bepaalde ecosysteemdiensten die de natuur levert aan mensen, zoals waterzuivering, klimaatregulatie en bestuiving van gewassen. c) Binnen de relationele waarde [12][13][14][15] wordt natuur gewaardeerd vanwege de relaties en interacties die mensen individueel en collectief hebben met de natuur. Deze kunnen zeer uiteenlopend zijn, en zowel positief als negatief zijn.…”

The Influence of Bilingualism and Language Attitudes on Language Choice in Multilingual Communities in a West Javan University

“…However, it is essential to note that some studies have found no general cognitive advantages for bilingual individuals1. For instance, a population study of 11,000 people found that bilinguals showed an advantage over monolinguals on only one test, and these effects disappeared when the groups were matched to remove potentially confounding factors [19] [13]. Despite these findings, the potential cognitive and social implications of bilingualism and multilingualism remain an area of interest in academic research.…”