Managing momentum in climate negotiations
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Carattini, Stefano; Löschel, Andreas

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf58d

Cited by 19 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…The 'club approach' to climate negotiations (Carattini and Löschel 2021) is one way forward where a group of high forest cover countries collaborate to apply and demonstrate GHG inventory methods and reporting that clearly communicate the mitigation potential of forest protection in meeting their nationally determined mitigation contributions. The Australian national GHG inventory accounts do provide the relevant information but their UNFCCC reporting is limited by the netting of emissions and removals within the LULUCF sector.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

Mackey

Moomaw

Lindenmayer

et al. 2022

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Meeting the Paris Agreement global warming target requires deep and rapid cuts in CO2 emissions as well as removals from the atmosphere into land sinks, especially forests. While international climate policy in the land sector does now recognize forest protection as a mitigation strategy, it is not receiving sufficient attention in developed countries even though they experience emissions from deforestation as well as from logging of managed forests. Current national greenhouse gas inventories obscure the mitigation potential of forest protection through net carbon accounting between the fossil fuel and the land sectors as well as within the different categories of the land. This prevents decision-makers in national governments, the private sector and civil society having access to all the science-based evidence needed to evaluate the merits of all mitigation strategies. The consequences of net carbon accounting for global policy were investigated by examining annual inventory reports of four high forest cover developed countries (Australia, Canada, USA, and Russia). Net accounting between sectors makes a major contribution to meeting nationally determined contributions with removals in Forest Land offsetting between 14-38% of the fossil fuel emissions for these countries. Analysis of reports for Australia at a sub-national level revealed that the State of Tasmania delivered negative emissions due to a change in forest management – a large and rapid drop in native forest logging – resulting in a gross mitigation benefit of ~40 Mt CO2_e over the reported period (2006/7-2018/19). This is precisely the outcome required globally to meet the Paris Agreement temperature goal. All CO2 emissions from, and atmospheric removal into, forest ecosystem carbon stocks now matter and should be counted and credited to achieve the deep and rapid cuts in emissions needed over the coming decades. Accounting and reporting systems therefore need to show gains and losses of carbon stocks in each reservoir. Changing forest management in naturally regenerating forests to avoid emissions from harvesting and enabling forest regrowth is an effective mitigation strategy that can rapidly reduce anthropogenic emissions from the forest sector and simultaneously increase removals of CO2 from the atmosphere.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

Mackey

Moomaw

Lindenmayer

et al. 2022

Environ. Res. Lett.

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“…Anthropogenic forcing of global warming and the AMOC slowdown has co‐evolved with economic and societal power structures. The stability of the current social state is evident internationally in the Conference of the Parties (COP) deliberations and the limited progress on reducing global carbon emissions (Carattini & Löschel, 2021). At the local level, implementation of climate change mitigation has also been slow.…”

Section: Applying An Interdisciplinary Perspective To Social–climatic...mentioning

confidence: 99%

An interdisciplinary framework for navigating social–climatic tipping points

Graham

Wary

Calcagni³

et al. 2023

People and Nature

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To effectively navigate out of the climate crisis, a new interdisciplinary approach is needed to guide and facilitate research that integrates diverse understandings of how transitions evolve in intertwined social–environmental systems. The concept of tipping points, frequently used in the natural sciences and increasingly in the social sciences, can help elucidate processes underlying major social–environmental transitions. We develop the notion of interlinked ‘social–climatic tipping points’ in which desirability and intentionality are key constitutive features alongside stable states, feedbacks, reversibility and abruptness. We demonstrate the new insights that our interdisciplinary framework can provide by analysing the slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and associated flooding of the Ahr Valley in Germany as a social–climatic tipping point. This framework can enable more sustainable and equitable futures by prioritising social–climatic tipping points for interdisciplinary research, identifying opportunities for action, and evaluating the nuanced desirability and acceptability of proposed solutions. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

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“…Second, social movements affect policy, either in legislation or in agenda setting. Civic action preceding and during COP (Carattini and Löschel, 2021), and resistance to local fossil fuel projects have been able to cancel or suspend the projects (Piggot, 2018;Temper et al, 2020) or create non-fossil fuel energy policies (Hielscher and Wittmayer and Dańkowska, 2022). In a third and fundamental way, society influences policy through the election of politicians and policymakers.…”

Section: Cascading Effects In Sociopolitical Systemsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades

Eker,

Lenton,

Powell

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Abstract. Positive tipping points are promising leverage points in social systems for accelerated progress towards climate and sustainability targets. Besides their impact in specific social systems such as energy, food, or social norms and values, positive tipping dynamics may in some cases spread across different systems, amplifying the impact of tipping interventions. However, the cross-system interactions that can create such tipping cascades are sparsely examined. Here, we review interactions across sociotechnical, -ecological, -economic and -political systems that can lead to tipping cascades based on the emerging and relevant past evidence. We show that there are several feedback mechanisms where a strategic input can trigger secondary impacts for a disproportionately large positive response, and various agents that can trigger such cascades. This review of cross-system interactions facilitates the quantification and analysis of positive tipping cascades in future studies.

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Managing momentum in climate negotiations ^*

Cited by 19 publications

References 10 publications

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

An interdisciplinary framework for navigating social–climatic tipping points

Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades

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About

Managing momentum in climate negotiations *

Cited by 19 publications

References 10 publications

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

Net carbon accounting and reporting are a barrier to understanding the mitigation value of forest protection in developed countries

An interdisciplinary framework for navigating social–climatic tipping points

Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About

Managing momentum in climate negotiations ^*