2018
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018
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Managing uncertainty in flood protection planning with climate projections

Abstract: Abstract. Technical flood protection is a necessary part of integrated strategies to protect riverine settlements from extreme floods. Many technical flood protection measures, such as dikes and protection walls, are costly to adapt after their initial construction. This poses a challenge to decision makers as there is large uncertainty in how the required protection level will change during the measure lifetime, which is typically many decades long. Flood protection requirements should account for multiple fu… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(18 citation statements)
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References 70 publications
(105 reference statements)
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“…2.1, we outline how the climate-related uncertainty in discharge (f Q (q) in Eq. 1) is defined and quantified for use in decision making, following Dittes et al (2018b). In Sect.…”
Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…2.1, we outline how the climate-related uncertainty in discharge (f Q (q) in Eq. 1) is defined and quantified for use in decision making, following Dittes et al (2018b). In Sect.…”
Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…where f is the prior PDF of the parameters, f Q| is the PDF of the applied extreme value distribution wherein the dependence on θ has been made explicit, and f Q| (q|θ ) = Y t=1 f Q| (q t |θ ) is the likelihood describing the data. The prior distribution is chosen to be non-informative in the return period of extreme discharge (for details on this, see Dittes et al, 2018b). In the equality, we assume independence among the annual discharge maxima q.…”
Section: Uncertainty In Determining Future Extreme Dischargesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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