Mathematical Analysis of Seasonal Malaria Transmission in Swampy and Deltaic Regions.

Abstract

Climatic characteristics involving weather conditions affect malaria transmission in most deltaic regions of the world. Here, we propose a simple mosquito-human interaction model incorporating features of seasonal malaria pathogenesis. We obtain the basic reproduction number and show in our analysis some conditions for local and global stability of the solution, suggesting that intervention strategies should be targeted at reducing seasonal contacts of mosquitoes and humans. The model simulations compare well with malaria infection data.