2022
DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3319
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Mathematical Modeling of Age-Specific Fertility Rates of Nepali Mothers

Abstract: In this paper, polynomial models have been formulated to describe the distribution pattern of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and forward-cumulative ASFRs of Nepali mothers. The former follows the bi-quadratic polynomial and the latter follows the quadratic one. Velocity and elasticity equations of the fitted models have been formulated. The areas covered by the curves of the fitted models have been evaluated, and the area covered by the curve of ASFRs is equivalent to the total fertility rate (TFR). Furt… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Asili et al (2014) used skew-logistic probability to fit ASFRs of Italy and the same model was applied to fit the ASFRs of India by Mishra et al (2017). A polynomial model was used by Gaire et al (2022). In this paper, the proposed SLLog model is applied to the age of the mother at the birth of a child to fit ASFRs of Nepal, and the results are compared with baseline distribution which are presented in Table 2.…”
Section: Application Of Sllog Distributionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Asili et al (2014) used skew-logistic probability to fit ASFRs of Italy and the same model was applied to fit the ASFRs of India by Mishra et al (2017). A polynomial model was used by Gaire et al (2022). In this paper, the proposed SLLog model is applied to the age of the mother at the birth of a child to fit ASFRs of Nepal, and the results are compared with baseline distribution which are presented in Table 2.…”
Section: Application Of Sllog Distributionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Asili et al (2014) used skew-logistic probability to fit ASFRs of Italy and the same model was applied to fit the ASFRs of India by Mishra et al (2017). A polynomial model was used by Gaire et al (2022). In this paper, the proposed SLLog model is applied to the age of the mother at the birth of a child to fit ASFRs of Nepal, and the results are compared with baseline distribution which are presented in Table 2.…”
Section: Application Of Sllog Distributionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this section, we illustrate the goodness of fit of the proposed Skew Lomax distribution by using three real lifetime data sets; The First data set is taken from the Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS, 2017). To fit the age of the mother at the birth of a child in the case of ASFRs some of the right-skewed probability models and other models had been used in literature such as the Normal Mixture model (Peristera and Kostaki, 2007), flexible generalized skew Normal distribution (Mazzuco and Scarpa, 2011), Inverse Gaussian model (Gaire and Aryal, 2015), Polynomial Model (Gaire et al, 2022).…”
Section: Numerial Application Of Skew Lomax Distributionmentioning
confidence: 99%