Measure more or report faster? Effect of information perception on management of commons

Langarudi, Saeed P.; Silva, Carlos; Fernald, Alexander G.

doi:10.1002/sdr.1677

Cited by 8 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 31 publications

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“…It has been recognized (e.g. Langaurdi, et al ., 2021) that improving or even optimizing a trade‐off policy between evidence accumulation and action may be critical in managing complex systems.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An elementary mechanism for simultaneously modeling discrete decisions and decision times

2022

System Dynamics Review

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In the field of system dynamics (SD), there has been a missing set of theoretically sound techniques for explicitly modeling dynamics during discrete decision-making processes across varying levels and types of decision pressures. Purchasing a property, filing a divorce, approving a merger, imposing a tariff, and launching a war are examples of actions that have broader ramifications; in these cases, the decisions and timing of those decisions are crucial in understanding and predicting the interactions between the decision-makers and their environments. Sequential Sampling Models (SSMs) have remained commonplace in cognitive psychology (CP) for decades because of their utility in simultaneously capturing individual decisions and decision-time distributions. This article reviews existing SSM literature and proposes a generalized, elementary mechanism distilled from existing SSMs, which establishes a connection between SD and CP in the hope of benefiting both fields.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An elementary mechanism for simultaneously modeling discrete decisions and decision times

2022

System Dynamics Review

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“…This has been attributed to the fact that renewable resources are not static, but dynamic, and people are prone to misperceive bioeconomic and feedback structures in such systems [38][39][40]. According to Langarudi et al [41], when managing common pool resources, which renewable resources tend to be, management decisions depend on perceptions regarding the availability of the resource. It is reported that the process from when availability is measured, reported, and analysed until a decision is made and implemented, takes time.…”

Section: Transparencymentioning

confidence: 99%

Transparency and Leverage Points for Sustainable Resource Management

et al. 2022

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The phrase ‘sunshine is the best disinfectant’ is commonly used to suggest that transparency can counter corruption and ensure accountability. In the policy world, several analytical tools have been developed to obtain information on what policy decision would bring about the biggest positive effect for the least amount of effort. There is a tendency to view transparency as the silver bullet in that respect. This paper aimed to shed light on how measures of transparency can serve as a leverage point for sustainable resource management. We begin by analysing the concept of transparency and then draw from Donella Meadows’ work on leverage points to analyse the transformative potential of increasing transparency towards sustainable resource management. We then demonstrate the use of this analytical approach by applying it to three case studies on resource management systems in Ukraine, Romania, and Iceland. The results suggested that transparency in resource management needs to be accompanied by widely accepted standards and accountability mechanisms for it to serve as an effective leverage point. If these factors are neglected, the credibility of transparency can be undermined. Prioritising transparency as a policy intervention to alleviate corruption risks, in the absence of accountability mechanisms and clear rules, might be misplaced, and require deeper leverage points.

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“…(2021) provides insight into breaking down the information perception process so that its individual components can be analyzed within a system [50]. To carry out our initial investigation, each run in this study had a 1-year gap between the reporting delay and the perception delay and a 2-year gap between the perception delay and the policy delay.…”

Section: Future Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling as a Tool for Transboundary Aquifer Assessment Prioritization

Atkins

Langarudi

Fernald

2021

Water

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Transboundary aquifers are critical global water supplies facing unprecedented threats of depletion; existing efforts to assess these resources do not adequately account for the complexities of transboundary human and physical system interactions to the determinant of the impact of assessment outcomes. This study developed a system dynamics model with natural, human, and technical system components for a section of the transboundary Mesilla Basin/Conejos-Médanos aquifer to evaluate the following dynamic hypothesis: how and when information from a transboundary aquifer assessment is reported and perceived, in scenarios where two countries follow identical and different timeframes, dynamically impacts the behaviors of the shared aquifer. Simulation experiments were conducted to quantitatively assess the dynamics of transboundary aquifer assessment information reporting and perception delays. These critical feedbacks have not previously been incorporated practically in simulation and analysis. Simulation results showed that the timing and content of reporting can change the dynamic behavior of natural, human, and technical components of transboundary aquifer systems. This study demonstrates the potential for modeling to assist with prioritization efforts during the data collection and exchange phases to ensure that transboundary aquifer assessments achieve their intended outcomes.

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Measure more or report faster? Effect of information perception on management of commons

Cited by 8 publications

References 31 publications

An elementary mechanism for simultaneously modeling discrete decisions and decision times

An elementary mechanism for simultaneously modeling discrete decisions and decision times

Transparency and Leverage Points for Sustainable Resource Management

Modeling as a Tool for Transboundary Aquifer Assessment Prioritization

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