2015
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-15-0133.1
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Mesoscale Thermodynamic Influences on Convection Initiation near a Surface Dryline in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble

Abstract: 1In this study we examine initiation of severe convection along a daytime surface dryline in a 2 10-member ensemble of convection-permitting simulations. Results indicate that the minimum 3 buoyancy (Bmin) of PBL air parcels must be small (Bmin > -0.5ºC) for successful deep convection 4 initiation (CI) to occur along the dryline. Comparing different ensemble members reveals that 5

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Cited by 27 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…This sharp meridional moisture gradient in close proximity to the genesis region of southern Niger has a diurnal cycle analogous to drylines observed over the south-central Great Plains of the U.S. (Schaefer 1986). While thunderstorms tend to develop in their vicinity, drylines are not the triggering mechanism for convection (e.g., Ogura et al 1982;Carlson et al 1983;Trier et al 2015). However, the dryline's proximity can be an important environmental factor because convective systems that form near them tend to become stronger and better organized (Rhea 1966).…”
Section: Conditions For Mcss With Daytime Genesis <1000 Km Away From mentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…This sharp meridional moisture gradient in close proximity to the genesis region of southern Niger has a diurnal cycle analogous to drylines observed over the south-central Great Plains of the U.S. (Schaefer 1986). While thunderstorms tend to develop in their vicinity, drylines are not the triggering mechanism for convection (e.g., Ogura et al 1982;Carlson et al 1983;Trier et al 2015). However, the dryline's proximity can be an important environmental factor because convective systems that form near them tend to become stronger and better organized (Rhea 1966).…”
Section: Conditions For Mcss With Daytime Genesis <1000 Km Away From mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As discussed in the above-mentioned studies, the primary role of the dryline is to provide a restraining inversion for lower-tropospheric turbulence that suppresses the release of convective instability too early in the day. Convection is more commonly thought to initiate near a dryline either by dry convective-scale motions arising from daytime surface heating of the planetary boundary layer (PBL), or by mesoscale thermally-direct vertical circulations driven by differential heating due to sloping terrain and/or the non-homogeneous vegetation/soil conditions (Carlson et al 1983;Trier et al 2004Trier et al , 2015.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is a process in which a potentially unstable air parcel passes through its level of free convection (LFC) to initiate buoyant updraft growth with the release of instability. The ability to forecast when and where a new convective system will be initiated is important for disaster preparedness; therefore, CI has been extensively researched in recent decades (e.g., Campbell et al, ; Markowski et al, ; Peters & Hohenegger, ; Su & Zhai, ; Trier et al, ; Weckwerth & Parsons, ; Wilson & Roberts, ; Zhang et al, ; Ziegler & Rasmussen, ). However, predicting the precise location and timing of CI remains a challenge partly due to the lack of spatially and temporally dense observations, especially in the planetary boundary layer (PBL).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Complex terrain plays important roles in the initiation and organization of convection (e.g., Rotunno and Houze, 2007;Wulfmeyer et al, 2008;Houze, 2012;Kain et al, 2013;Trier et al, 2015;Worthington, 2015;Zhao, 2015). For strong airflows encountering complex terrain, dynamic forcing can be strong enough to cause convective initiation (CI).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%