Metaheuristic Algorithms for Solar Radiation Prediction: A Systematic Analysis

Pérez-Rodríguez, Sergio A.; Álvarez-Alvarado, José M.; Romero-González, Julio-Alejandro; Aviles, Marcos; Mendoza-Rojas, America Eileen; Fuentes-Silva, Carlos; Rodríguez-Reséndiz, Juvenal

doi:10.1109/access.2024.3429073

IEEE Access

2024

DOI: 10.1109/access.2024.3429073

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Metaheuristic Algorithms for Solar Radiation Prediction: A Systematic Analysis

Sergio A. Pérez-Rodríguez,

José M. Álvarez-Alvarado,

Julio-Alejandro Romero-González

et al.

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2024

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Cited by 1 publication

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Performance Comparison of Bio-Inspired Algorithms for Optimizing an ANN-Based MPPT Forecast for PV Systems

Rojas-Galván,

García-Martínez,

Cruz-Miguel

et al. 2024

Biomimetics

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This study compares bio-inspired optimization algorithms for enhancing an ANN-based Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) forecast system under partial shading conditions in photovoltaic systems. Four algorithms—grey wolf optimizer (GWO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), squirrel search algorithm (SSA), and cuckoo search (CS)—were evaluated, with the dataset augmented by perturbations to simulate shading. The standard ANN performed poorly, with 64 neurons in Layer 1 and 32 in Layer 2 (MSE of 159.9437, MAE of 8.0781). Among the optimized approaches, GWO, with 66 neurons in Layer 1 and 100 in Layer 2, achieved the best prediction accuracy (MSE of 11.9487, MAE of 2.4552) and was computationally efficient (execution time of 1198.99 s). PSO, using 98 neurons in Layer 1 and 100 in Layer 2, minimized MAE (2.1679) but had a slightly longer execution time (1417.80 s). SSA, with the same neuron count as GWO, also performed well (MSE 12.1500, MAE 2.7003) and was the fastest (987.45 s). CS, with 84 neurons in Layer 1 and 74 in Layer 2, was less reliable (MSE 33.7767, MAE 3.8547) and slower (1904.01 s). GWO proved to be the best overall, balancing accuracy and speed. Future real-world applications of this methodology include improving energy efficiency in solar farms under variable weather conditions and optimizing the performance of residential solar panels to reduce energy costs. Further optimization developments could address more complex and larger-scale datasets in real-time, such as integrating renewable energy sources into smart grid systems for better energy distribution.

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Performance Comparison of Bio-Inspired Algorithms for Optimizing an ANN-Based MPPT Forecast for PV Systems

Rojas-Galván,

García-Martínez,

Cruz-Miguel

et al. 2024

Biomimetics

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Metaheuristic Algorithms for Solar Radiation Prediction: A Systematic Analysis

Cited by 1 publication

References 70 publications

Performance Comparison of Bio-Inspired Algorithms for Optimizing an ANN-Based MPPT Forecast for PV Systems

Performance Comparison of Bio-Inspired Algorithms for Optimizing an ANN-Based MPPT Forecast for PV Systems

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