Aims
Identify dose tapering strategies associated with sustained success following methadone maintenance treatment (MMT).
Design
Population-based retrospective cohort study.
Setting
Linked administrative medication dispensation data from British Columbia, Canada.
Participants
From 25,545 completed MMT episodes, 14,602 of which initiated a taper, 4,183 individuals (accounting for 4,917 MMT episodes) from 1996–2006 met study inclusion criteria.
Measurements
The primary outcome was sustained successful taper, defined as a daily dose ≤5mg per day in the final week of the treatment episode and no treatment re-entry, opioid-related hospitalization, or mortality within 18 months following episode completion.
Findings
The overall rate of sustained success was 13% among episodes meeting inclusion criteria (646/4,917), 4.4% (646/14,602) among all episodes initiating a taper, and 2.5% (646/25,545) among all completed episodes in the dataset. The results of our multivariate logistic regression analyses suggested that longer tapers had substantially higher odds of success (12–52 weeks vs. <12 weeks: Odds ratio: 3.58; 95% confidence interval: 2.76 – 4.65); > 52 weeks vs. < 12 weeks: 6.68 (5.13 – 8.70)), regardless of how early in the treatment episode the taper was initiated, and a more gradual, stepped tapering schedule, with dose decreases scheduled in only 25–50% of the weeks of the taper, provided the highest odds of sustained success (vs. <25%: 1.61 (1.22–2.14)).
Conclusions
The majority of patients attempting to taper from methadone maintenance treatment will not succeed. Success is enhanced by gradual dose reductions interspersed with periods of stabilization. These results can inform the development of a more refined guideline for future clinical practice.