Methodology for Forming a Balanced System of Regional Differentiation Indicators

Bril, M. S.

doi:10.32983/2222-4459-2020-4-133-142

Cited by 4 publications

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“…It is worth paying attention to the fact that all researchers of the factors affecting the regional gross product in the process of modeling neither grouped nor clustered regions according to individual characteristics, which made it possible to obtain only generalized results of a theoretical nature. As for more modern studies, M. Bril [17], using models of multiple canonical correlations in order to form a balanced system of indicators of regional differentiation, substantiates the insignificance of the indicator of retail trade turnover in the context of the study on the state of socio-economic development of the region. V. Hryniv [18] emphasizes the necessity to group regions based on a preliminary ranking by a certain indicator in the context of further construction of reliable predictive models.…”

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confidence: 88%

“…Other authors [17], based on the analysis of panel data on regional development, conclude that the general factors affecting the gross added value of the region are the turnover of retail trade, the share of the population with an average per capita equivalent total income below the subsistence minimum, the export-to-import ratio, and the ratio of migration increase (reduction) of the population.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Gross regional product in Ukraine: two-dimensional analysis of regularities and territorial features

Babchynska,

Vagonova,

Nyzhnyk

et al. 2024

Nauk. visn. nat. hirn. univ.

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Purpose. Carrying out an analysis of panel data on individual indicators of the development of the regions of Ukraine in general and their aggregates, distinguished by territorial location and profitability in order to establish the main regularities and specific features of changes in their gross regional product. Methodology. On the basis of a sample of statistical indicators of the socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine for the period from the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war (2014) to the full-scale invasion, the authors created panel series of data with the separation of regional groups according to territorial and income criteria. For each group panel series of data, random effects regression models were built in order to determine the presence of regularities and specific features of regional development in different groups. Findings. An analysis of scientific developments and practical results in the issue of determining the key factors of the formation of the gross regional product was carried out. Given the uncertainty in views on the key factors of regional development, an attempt was made to determine them using a two-dimensional analysis of panel data. For this purpose, a sample of statistical information on the main indicators of socio-economic development of each of the regions of Ukraine was formed and their grouping was carried out according to two criteria: territorial location and profitability according to the indicator of the gross regional product per capita. In general, five groups of oblasts were formed based on territorial characteristics and four groups of oblasts based on income characteristics, and a panel regression model was constructed for each of these groups, including the total set of regional panel data. The received specifications of the models made it possible to form a list of key regularities in the formation of the gross regional product in Ukraine, as well as to determine specific factors of influence on the resulting indicator for each of the groups of oblasts. Originality. On the basis of the given approach to the panel analysis of factors of regional development and, in particular, the formation of the gross regional product, based on a combination of statistical methods for grouping (clustering) regions according to various criteria and panel regression models, the hypothesis regarding the presence of common regularities of regional development in certain groups of oblasts of Ukraine was confirmed. The key factors and specific features of changes in the indicator of the gross regional product in Ukraine in general and in individual regional clusters are determined. Practical value. The possibility of practical use of the obtained results as key risk factors in the process of forming plans for the economic development of individual oblasts in the long term, as well as the application of the proposed approach to the study on key factors of the formation of other indicators of regional development.

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confidence: 88%

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confidence: 99%

Gross regional product in Ukraine: two-dimensional analysis of regularities and territorial features

Babchynska,

Vagonova,

Nyzhnyk

et al. 2024

Nauk. visn. nat. hirn. univ.

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“…Gur'yanova (2013) and Bril (2020) examine the evaluation of dynamics in regional development disparities. Melnikova (2015) analyzes structural shifts in the regional economy that lead to disparities.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Models for assessing crisis dynamics in disparities of Ukraine’s regional economy to ensure the economic security of regions

Shevchenko

Варналій

Kharlamova

et al. 2023

Journal of International Studies

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The increase in the unevenness of indicators of regional socio-economic development in Ukraine is causing changes in regional economic security, in addition to the deterioration of national welfare. Therefore, there is a need to develop new theoretical and practical approaches for assessing such disparities and forecasting their dynamics. In this article, a toolkit for modelling crises and catastrophes in disparities of regional development is presented, using the example of Ukraine. The purpose of this study is to create models that assess the crisis dynamics in regional disparities in Ukraine, in order to develop tools for ensuring economic security in the region. To achieve this purpose, the following tasks have been identified: to evaluate convergent-divergent processes and the long-term interaction of regional disparity indicators; to simulate possible crises and catastrophes in various spheres of socio-economic development of regions according to the levels of their disparities; and to demonstrate the mutual dependence between disparities of the regions and levels of their economic security. The result of the crisis dynamic assessment is a set of predictive models of possible catastrophes that may occur in Ukraine's regions. This allows for obtaining reliable results for the qualitative analysis of stability factors of disparities in the socio-economic system, accounting for different time intervals that determine the peculiarities of the country's development. The array of constructed models is an effective tool for researching crisis processes in the dynamics of disparity indicators, as they allow for identifying and more thoroughly investigating non-linear cyclical processes in regional economic development, as well as predicting changes in levels of economic security. Such a toolkit allows for the development of a strategy for balanced regional and country development, and for ensuring regional economic security.

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“…[3]; новітнім інструментам регулювання розвитку регіонів та громад -В. С. Шебаніна, В. В. Уманської, Г. О. Решетілова [4]; збільшенню диспропорцій розвитку регіонів та необхідності її регулювання -у праці О. І. Гонти [5]. Виділимо роботи Л. С. Гур'янової [6] та М. С. Бріля [7], у яких оцінюється динаміка диспропорцій розвитку регіонів; Т. С. Клебанової, О. А. Сергієнко та ін. [8][9][10][11], присвячені прогнозуванню економічних процесів на рівні регіонів; М. В. Мельникової [12] стосовно структурних зрушень економіки регіонів, що призводять до диспропорцій; В. Ю. Дорош та І. М. Пушкарчук [13], у яких аналізується просторовий вимір макроекономічних явищ; О. В. Манойленко, О. Є. Гапоненко та ін.…”

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Evaluation of Disparities in the Socio-Economic Development of the Regions of Ukraine on the Basis of Convergent-Divergent Processes

Zakharii,

Shevchenko,

Kuzmynchuk

2023

BulEcon

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Disparities of socioeconomic indices of Ukraine's regions are a scientific problem and a practical task that should be solved on a strategic horizon. Current regulation of regional development does not take into account the dynamic processes of disparity indicators in the long-term period, which leads to an incorrect definition of disparities regulation goals. The purpose of this article can be stated as the working out of a system for evaluating the disparities indicators, and disparities' dynamic shows the necessity to use a convergent-divergent approach. Convergent-divergent processes were analyzed for the following groups of indicators (demographic, productive, natural and ecological, foreign economic, and structural disparities) in 2007–2021 and for three classes of regions: with balanced, restrained, and unrestrained disparities. The analytical model for convergent- divergent processes of territorial development disparities is based on econometric models of assessing spatial β-convergence. It involves analysis of absolute and conditional convergence of regional development; assessment of convergence accounting indicators of regional disparities; verification of the hypothesis about the strengthening of disparities. In particular, obtained results of absolute convergence indicate that regions with unrestrained disparities of some spheres do not tend to grow faster than classes of regions with balanced disparities of the same spheres since even a lower level of disparities does not guarantee a higher rate of disparities reduction. Therefore, the convergence of disparities is a very long process. Results indicate the strengthening of divergent trends in the uneven development of regions and can be used to determine vulnerable areas with disparities in regions, and besides, this model is considered to be a decision-making supportive tool for the reduction of interregional disparities.

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Methodology for Forming a Balanced System of Regional Differentiation Indicators

Cited by 4 publications

References 0 publications

Gross regional product in Ukraine: two-dimensional analysis of regularities and territorial features

Gross regional product in Ukraine: two-dimensional analysis of regularities and territorial features

Models for assessing crisis dynamics in disparities of Ukraine’s regional economy to ensure the economic security of regions

Evaluation of Disparities in the Socio-Economic Development of the Regions of Ukraine on the Basis of Convergent-Divergent Processes

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