Microdynamics, granularity and populism: The Finnish case

Fornaro, Paolo; Kaihovaara, Antti

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101926

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…In France, an increase of one standard deviation in exposure to imports over the period 1995-2012 was associated with an effect that accounts for 7 percent of a standard deviation of the change in the vote share of the populist National Front party, or just under 3 percent of the party's overall vote share (Malgouyres 2017). 1 In Germany, a one standard deviation increase in a county's net import exposure to China and Eastern Europe saw its vote share for the extreme right grow by 0.12 percentage points (Dippel et al 2017). This represents about 28 percent of the average per decade change in far-right voting in the period between 1987 and 2009.…”

Section: Levels and Changes In Explanations Of Populismmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Insecurity and the Causes of Populism, Reconsidered

Margalit

2019

Journal of Economic Perspectives

213

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Growing conventional wisdom holds that a chief driver of the populist vote is economic insecurity. I contend that this view overstates the role of economic insecurity as an explanation in several ways. First, it conflates the significance of economic insecurity in influencing the election outcome on the margin with its significance in explaining the overall populist vote. Empirical findings indicate that the share of populist support explained by economic insecurity is modest. Second, recent evidence indicates that voters’ concern with immigration—a key issue for many populist parties—is only marginally shaped by its real or perceived repercussions on their economic standing. Third, economics-centric accounts of populism treat voters’ cultural concerns as largely a byproduct of experiencing adverse economic change. This approach underplays the reverse process, whereby disaffection from social and cultural change drives both economic discontent and support for populism.

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Section: Levels and Changes In Explanations Of Populismmentioning

confidence: 99%