Migration networks, export shocks, and human capital acquisition: Evidence from China

Cai, Shu; Shi, Xinzheng; Xu, Zhufeng

doi:10.1016/j.jce.2024.04.001

Journal of Comparative Economics

2024

DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.04.001

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Migration networks, export shocks, and human capital acquisition: Evidence from China

Shu Cai,

Xinzheng Shi,

Zhufeng Xu

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2024

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Cited by 2 publications

References 29 publications

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Educational Responses to Local and Migration Destination Shocks: Evidence from China

Leight,

Pan

2024

The World Bank Economic Review

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Over the last 20 years, China has experienced substantial positive shocks to export-oriented industries—especially following its accession to the World Trade Organization—and these shocks have had major implications for human capital investment. One primary channel through which export expansion can shape choices about human capital accumulation is positive labor-demand shocks, and these shocks can be observed both at potential within-country migration destinations and in the locality of birth. Exploiting cross-county variation in the reduction in export tariff uncertainty post-WTO, both locally and at plausible migration destinations, this analysis finds that youth in China reaching matriculation age post-accession in counties experiencing a larger export shock (either locally or at those destinations) show a lower probability of enrolling in high school. This pattern is observed in a sample including both youth who ultimately migrate and youth who do not migrate. For urban youth, the effects of local shocks are larger than the effects of destination shocks, but the opposite pattern is observed for rural youth.

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Educational Responses to Local and Migration Destination Shocks: Evidence from China

Leight,

Pan

2024

The World Bank Economic Review

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Input Tariff Cuts and the Spatial Distribution of Skilled Labor: Evidence From China

Liu,

Xiao,

Qin

2024

Growth and Change

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As China's economy advances toward high‐quality development, how to promote the rational spatial distribution of skilled labor to achieve sustainable regional economic growth has become an urgent issue. This study utilizes microdata from the 2000–2015 Chinese census and tariff data from China covering the same period to empirically regress input tariff cuts on changes in the proportion of skilled labor in cities. The results show that for every 1% decrease in input tariffs, the proportion of skilled labor in cities increases by 0.78%, accounting for 15.22% of the spatial distribution of skilled labor. Mechanism analysis indicates that input tariff cuts facilitate technological progress and subsequently increase skilled labor demand. From an equilibrium perspective, increased skilled labor demand attracts skilled worker inflows, thereby increasing the proportion of skilled labor in cities. Additionally, input tariff cuts have a more significant impact on cities with low trade costs, a high historical proportion of skilled labor, and high labor market flexibility. These findings provide favorable evidence of the micro‐level impact of input tariff cuts on regional skilled labor markets, offering important policy insights into how developing countries similar to China can optimize the spatial distribution of skilled labor through input tariffs.

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Migration networks, export shocks, and human capital acquisition: Evidence from China

Cited by 2 publications

References 29 publications

Educational Responses to Local and Migration Destination Shocks: Evidence from China

Educational Responses to Local and Migration Destination Shocks: Evidence from China

Input Tariff Cuts and the Spatial Distribution of Skilled Labor: Evidence From China

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