2000
DOI: 10.2307/2586021
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Military Capabilities and Escalation: A Correction to Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick

Abstract: Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick analyze the evolution of crises as a two-sided incomplete information game in order to illuminate the relationship between observable military capabilities and the escalation of a dispute to armed conflict. I show that an error in the derivation of the equilibria invalidates their conclusions, and I offer a few suggestions on how to model the evolution of crises as incomplete information games.

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“…Do the required readings cover a mix of female and male authors (and other demographic categories)? My own web searches for graduate‐level syllabi suggest that it is quite common, for example, for the 1997 Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick paper to be on a reading list, but not Molinari's correction (which would seem to be even more important for graduate training than the flawed original); and for sections on alliances to not mention a single paper by Ashley Leeds. Habitually checking our syllabi to ensure they are representative helps ensure subsequent generations of scholars will better value women's contributions to knowledge, both because students become aware of women's work and because their mentors foster an environment in which that work is deemed important.…”
Section: Self‐reflectionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Do the required readings cover a mix of female and male authors (and other demographic categories)? My own web searches for graduate‐level syllabi suggest that it is quite common, for example, for the 1997 Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick paper to be on a reading list, but not Molinari's correction (which would seem to be even more important for graduate training than the flawed original); and for sections on alliances to not mention a single paper by Ashley Leeds. Habitually checking our syllabi to ensure they are representative helps ensure subsequent generations of scholars will better value women's contributions to knowledge, both because students become aware of women's work and because their mentors foster an environment in which that work is deemed important.…”
Section: Self‐reflectionmentioning
confidence: 99%