Military expert's estimates of continuous operations performance (or close but no cigar).

A Model of Family Factors and Individual and Unit Readiness: Literature Review

“…In a study examining the feasibility of using expert judgments to supplement performance data (Neff & Solick, 1983), officer-raters were provided detailed information regarding the conditions, participants, and schedule of continuous operations exercises, as well as results from initial phases of the exercise. They were asked to estimate the expected performance in subsequent phases of the exercises.…”