Mixture Weibull probabilistic model in Wind Turbine Power Analysis

Abstract

Wind energy is renewable and environment friendly. It is pollution free source of energy when compared with fossil fuels that pollute the lower layer of atmosphere. A new method depending on the parameters of three parameter mixture Weibull distribution is presented in this paper for calculating the output energy. Parameter estimation is much critical for the application of statistical model and is a challenging problem precisely for a Weibull distribution with more than two parameters. A study on estimation of parameters using maximum likelihood method is discussed. An expression to estimate the Capacity factor is formulated and the average power produced from a turbine is computed using the three parameter mixture Weibull distribution.