Modeling COVID-19: Forecasting and analyzing the dynamics of the outbreak in Hubei and Turkey

Abstract

As the pandemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) rages throughout the world, accurate modeling of the dynamics thereof is essential. However, since the availability and quality of data varies dramatically from region to region, accurate modeling directly from a global perspective is difficult, if not altogether impossible. Nevertheless, via local data collected by certain regions, it is possible to develop accurate local prediction tools, which may be coupled to develop global models. In this

The effect of changing COVID-19 restrictions on the transmission rate in a veterinary clinic

“…Some ODE models have included compartments with individuals in the hospital, with some assuming those persons to be isolated or others assuming them to be transmitting disease but at a lower rate ( Edholm et al, 2022 ; Gumel et al, 2021 ; Ngonghala et al, 2020 ). Spatial scales in COVID-19 models have ranged from countries and counties to cities ( Aslan et al, 2022 ; Gao et al, 2020 ; Gatto et al, 2020 ; Gumel et al, 2021 ; Macdonald et al, 2020 ; Renardy et al, 2020 ; Zhao & Feng, 2020 ). A few ODE models have represented COVID-19 transmission among health care workers in hospitals to illustrate spread and to consider interventions ( Evans et al, 2021 ; Gozalpour et al, 2021 ).…”