Modeling impacts of climate change on Joshua trees at their southern boundary: How scale impacts predictions

Barrows, Cameron W.; Murphy-Mariscal, Michelle L.

doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2012.03.028

Cited by 41 publications

(40 citation statements)

References 31 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Moreover, species distribution models typically lack the spatial and biological detail required to predict the persistence of populations at the local level (Hampe and Jump 2011;Schwartz 2012). This lack of detail may have significant consequences on model output, even more so as fine-scale biological and landscape characteristics as well as microclimate buffering have been demonstrated to play a central role in species responses to climate change (Thuiller et al 2008;Randin et al 2009;Willis and Bhagwat 2009;Barrows and Murphy-Mariscal 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fine-scale spatial patterns of the Tertiary relict Zelkova abelicea (Ulmaceae) indicate possible processes contributing to its persistence to climate changes

Bosque¹,

Adamogianni²,

Bariotakis³

et al. 2013

Reg Environ Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In this paper, the fine-scale spatial patterns of the Tertiary relict Zelkova abelicea (Lam.) Boiss. were studied (1) to reveal processes that contributed to its persistence to climate changes and (2) to assist future conservation planning, with the purpose of shifting the attention of conservation practitioners from patterns to processes. Results of the fine-scale spatial patterns of Z. abelicea indicate that the species tolerates disturbance and/or tracks changes resulting from disturbance in the range of its distribution through morphological and reproductive plasticity. In addition, our study indicates that Z. abelicea populations are conserved in the absence of metapopulation structure and that the species participates in plant-plant interactions through facilitation processes. Hence, the persistence of the species to climate changes seems to be more complicated and multifactorial than a linear and plain view of species survival in climate refugial areas, and therefore calls for a consideration of the processes revealed in this paper in future conservation planning.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fine-scale spatial patterns of the Tertiary relict Zelkova abelicea (Ulmaceae) indicate possible processes contributing to its persistence to climate changes

Bosque¹,

Adamogianni²,

Bariotakis³

et al. 2013

Reg Environ Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Decisions regarding the placement of USSE infrastructure likely take into account current species distributions, but climate change may alter future distributions and wildlife dispersal corridors [52]. Determining species' responses to novel climate shifts is inherently uncertain and scale dependent, but nevertheless tools exist to model such distributional shifts (e.g., [11]). …”

Section: Indirect and Regional Effects On Biodiversitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental impacts of utility-scale solar energy

Hernandez

Easter

Murphy-Mariscal

et al. 2014

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

534

316

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Greenhouse gas emissions Land use and land cover change Photovoltaic Renewable energy a b s t r a c t Renewable energy is a promising alternative to fossil fuel-based energy, but its development can require a complex set of environmental tradeoffs. A recent increase in solar energy systems, especially large, centralized installations, underscores the urgency of understanding their environmental interactions. Synthesizing literature across numerous disciplines, we review direct and indirect environmental impacts -both beneficial and adverse -of utility-scale solar energy (USSE) development, including impacts on biodiversity, land-use and land-cover change, soils, water resources, and human health. Additionally, we review feedbacks between USSE infrastructure and land-atmosphere interactions and the potential for USSE systems to mitigate climate change. Several characteristics and development strategies of USSE systems have low environmental impacts relative to other energy systems, including other renewables. We show opportunities to increase USSE environmental co-benefits, the permitting and regulatory constraints and opportunities of USSE, and highlight future research directions to better understand the nexus between USSE and the environment. Increasing the environmental compatibility of USSE systems will maximize the efficacy of this key renewable energy source in mitigating climatic and global environmental change.

show abstract

“…Furthermore, non-native species can interact with other stressors such as climate change. In Joshua Tree National Park in the southern Mojave Desert, for example, Barrows and Murphy-Mariscal (2012) reported that projected future habitat of the park's namesake (Joshua tree, Yucca brevifolia, a fire-susceptible species) in a changing climate would continue to correspond with that of the fire-promoting, nonnative annual Bromus rubens. With continuation of novel fire regimes, it is unclear how many Yucca trees may still be around to even experience a future climate.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Additionally, elevation extremes (below sea level and > 2,000 m) were least invaded in terms of non-native species richness. If climate becomes warmer and drier in the region as some projections suggest (Barrows and Murphy-Mariscal 2012), lower elevations might become even less invasible, and higher elevations more so. Forecasting how invasibility might change at high elevations is difficult, because high elevations may already be invasible and simply have not received seed pressure (Keeley et al 2003).…”

Section: Elevationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Status and management of non-native plant invasion in three of the largest national parks in the United States

Abella¹,

Fisichelli²,

Schmid³

et al. 2015

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Globally, invasion by non-native plants threatens resources that nature reserves are designated to protect. We assessed the status of non-native plant invasion on 1,662, 0.1-ha plots in Death Valley National Park, Mojave National Preserve, and Lake Mead National Recreation Area. These parks comprise 2.5 million ha, 23% of the national park land in the contiguous USA. At least one non-native species inhabited 82% of plots. Thirty-one percent of plots contained one non-native species, 30% two, 17% three, and 4% four to ten non-native species. Red brome (Bromus rubens), an 'ecosystem engineer' that alters fire regimes, was most widespread, infesting 60% of plots. By identifying frequency of species through this assessment, early detection and treatment can target infrequent species or minimally invaded sites, while containment strategies could focus on established invaders. We further compared two existing systems for prioritizing species for management and found that a third of species on plots had no rankings available. Moreover, rankings did not always agree between ranking systems for species that were ranked. Presence of multiple non-native species complicates treatment, and while we found that 40% of plots contained both forb and grass invaders, exploiting accelerated phenology of non-natives (compared to native annuals) might help manage multi-species invasions. Large sizes of these parks and scale of invasion are formidable challenges for management. Yet, precisely because of their size, these reserves represent opportunities to conserve large landscapes of native species by managing non-native plant invasions. RESEARCH ARTICLE Launched to accelerate biodiversity conservationA peer-reviewed open-access journal Scott R. Abella et al. / Nature Conservation 10: 71-94 (2015) 72

show abstract

Modeling impacts of climate change on Joshua trees at their southern boundary: How scale impacts predictions

Cited by 41 publications

References 31 publications

Fine-scale spatial patterns of the Tertiary relict Zelkova abelicea (Ulmaceae) indicate possible processes contributing to its persistence to climate changes

Fine-scale spatial patterns of the Tertiary relict Zelkova abelicea (Ulmaceae) indicate possible processes contributing to its persistence to climate changes

Environmental impacts of utility-scale solar energy

Status and management of non-native plant invasion in three of the largest national parks in the United States

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About