Modeling Study on Risk Identification in the Process of Anti-Crisis Enterprise Management

Abstract

The study provides solutions for the scientific task related to the improvement of theoretical and development of methodological and applied principles, and the identification and evaluation of risks and threats as factors of anti-crisis management of the enterprises. Based on the developed concept of quantitative risk analysis, we constructed a fuzzy hierarchical model, which gives the possibility to get the estimates: risk factors; specific types of threats in the framework of a process; risk processes, identified in the anti-crisis management; and the integrative risk of anti-crisis management. Furthermore, the proposed model makes it possible to identify the threats that are the risks of the highest (catastrophe) layer. The fuzzy hierarchical model construction process includes the determination of linguistic variables, term-varieties, and universal sets for quantitative evaluation of figures and risks, the establishment of parameters of the membership functions for indicators and risks, the formation of fuzzy knowledge bases, the construction of a fuzzy hierarchical model in the MATLAB environment, the evaluation of adequacy of model based on the learning sample, the correction of a model, and the adoption of a resolution regarding its final variant. The use of the model in the anti-crisis enterprise management will provide the anti-crisis team with the possibility to give early warning of all negative factors, give their quantitative evaluation, and take them into account in the course of making managerial decisions.

The Main Aspects of the Phenomenon of Economic Inclusion in the Management of Startups in the It Sphere

“…In the conditions of the Great War, it is considered appropriate for the effective management [13][14][15] of startups in the IT sphere to take into account the main resources: creative potential, time, finances. What is relevant taking into account the phenomenon of economic inclusion in the management of startups in the IT sphere,…”

Основні Аспекти Управління Економічною Безпекою Держави У Контексті Розвитку Біоекономіки

“…У результаті аналізування даних таблиці, слід зазначити, що впровадження існуючих моделей управління національною економікою на теренах України можливе за умови їх адаптації до вітчизняних реалій й повинне враховувати основні аспекти управління економічною безпекою держави [11][12][13] у контексті розвитку біоекономіки в межах реалізації стратегічних цілей та завдань України у післявоєнний період, що найповніше враховує американська модель. Висновки.…”