Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process

Abstract

Through theoretical analysis and empirical demonstration, this paper attempts to model the behavior of science and technology by investigating the self-propagating behavior of their diffusion for South Korea, Malaysia and Japan. The dynamics of the selfpropagating behavior were examined using the logistic growth function within a dynamic carrying capacity, while allowing for different effectiveness of potential influence of science and technology producers on potential adopters. Evidence suggests that the selfpropagating growth function is particularly relevant for countries with advanced science and technology, like Japan. While self-propagating growth was also found for South Korea, the diffusion process remained fairly static for Malaysia.

Evolution of knowledge creation and diffusion: the revisit of Taiwan’s Hsinchu Science Park

“…Our empirical results show that, except for the optoelectronics sector, the knowledge flows in the other seven sectors in Hsinchu innovation region are inclined to take the US as the main knowledge source, followed by Japan as a second source. This finding is corresponded with the innovation activities examined in other Asian latecomers such as Korea (Seol and Park 2008) and Singapore (Wong and Goh 2010), which demonstrates that although the technology latecomers have built up their innovation capabilities in certain high-tech sectors, they still need external cutting-edge knowledge to help upgrade their process innovation for mature technologies, such as in the PC, precision machinery, and semiconductor sectors. In the emerging sectors, such as biotechnology and the new generation communications sector (e.g.…”

“…Table 7 further indicates the achievement of ITRI's internalization capability, shown as the highest self-citation rate in the 2000s, through internalizing external knowledge, mainly from RCA in the 1980s and IBM in the 1990s. This not only represents greater technology independence for ITRI's innovation activity but also demonstrates that Taiwan's national technology strategy is focused on developing endogenous innovation capability rather than relying heavily on external knowledge as other latecomers such as Singapore (Wong and Goh 2010). Focusing on the specific and dominant technology, ITRI's knowledge acquisition and diffusion is overwhelmingly focused on semiconductors (i.e.…”

Cyclical long-term development of complex technologies--Premature expectations in nanotechnology?

“…The concept of the double boom was taken up by some scholars, in particular Wong and Goh (2010) who discussed self-propagating growth processes, Lecocq and van Looy (2009) In this example, the interplay between technology emergence and market pull becomes obvious also in fields of science-based technology and it underlines that market influence of markets has always to be taken into account.…”

Growth behavior of publications and patents: A comparative study on selected Asian economies

“…Many studies focused on science and technological diffusion taking place in selected emerging countries in Asia, including, Park et al (2005), Leydesdorff and Zhou (2005) and Zhou and Leydesdorff (2006). Okubo, Dore, Ojasoo, and Miquel (1998) studied the publication trends in South-east Asia using multivariate analysis.…”