2005
DOI: 10.1161/01.str.0000173221.37568.d2
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Modeling the Future Burden of Stroke in the Netherlands

Abstract: Background and Purpose-In the near future, the number of stroke patients and their related healthcare costs are expected to rise. The purpose of this study was to estimate this expected increase in stroke patients in the Netherlands. We sought to determine what the future developments in the number of stroke patients due to demographic changes and trends in the prevalence of smoking and hypertension in terms of the prevalence, incidence, and potential years of life lost might be. Methods-A dynamic, multistate … Show more

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Cited by 77 publications
(68 citation statements)
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“…21 Hypertension has been linked to HIV serostatus and to treatment. 22 Chronic high BP increases the risk of damage to target organs and is associated with cerebrovascular disease (strokes, white matter hyperintensities, and cortical atrophy), 23,24 subclinical renal dysfunction, 25 left ventricular hypertrophy, 26 increased IMT (as a marker of atherosclerosis), 25 and retinal arteriolar narrowing.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…21 Hypertension has been linked to HIV serostatus and to treatment. 22 Chronic high BP increases the risk of damage to target organs and is associated with cerebrovascular disease (strokes, white matter hyperintensities, and cortical atrophy), 23,24 subclinical renal dysfunction, 25 left ventricular hypertrophy, 26 increased IMT (as a marker of atherosclerosis), 25 and retinal arteriolar narrowing.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The CDM is a tool to describe the morbidity and mortality effects of risk factors for chronic diseases, including smoking and overweight and has been used for projections of risk factor and disease prevalence and cost effectiveness analysis (van Baal et al, 2006(van Baal et al, , 2007aFeenstra et al, 2001Feenstra et al, , 2005Struijs et al, 2005;Jacobs-van der Bruggen et al, 2007). The model describes the life course of cohorts in terms of changes between risk factor classes and changes between disease states over time.…”
Section: Acknowledgementsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…5 In addition, some of these projections were based on stroke mortality trends in the 1980s or early 1990s. 6 Taking into account more recent trends can, however, change future perspectives. Moreover, to create a stable empirical basis for projections of future trends, it is important to consider stroke mortality trends over a long span of years.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%