Modeling the power of renewable energy sources in the context of classical electricity system transformation

Kasperowicz, Rafał; Pinczyński, Marcin; Khabdullin, Asset

doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2017/10-3/19

Cited by 44 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…The promotion of renewable energy power generation is conducive to emission reduction and environmental protection, and is an important way to achieve low-carbon energy transformation [2]. Many countries have already developed plans to use renewable energy to generate electricity for the large-scale utilization of renewable resources in the next few years [3]. However, due to the high cost and instability of renewable energy power generation, it is less competitive than traditional fossil energy power generation [4,5].…”

Section: Research Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on China’s Renewable Energy Policy Reform and Improved Design of Renewable Portfolio Standard

et al. 2019

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China officially implemented the renewable portfolio standard (RPS) on 1 January 2019, and it remains uncertain as to whether this can effectively solve the problem of renewable energy consumption in China and ease the pressure of government subsidies. In order to study the impact of this policy on China's renewable energy power generation and explore RPS policy that is more suitable for the characteristics of China's renewable energy, we first develop a revenue function model based on the just released RPS policy to explore the effectiveness of the policy, the feasibility conditions for successful implementation, and the problems that may be encountered during the implementation process. Then, we propose policy recommendations based on the possible problems of the current policy and design an "incremental electricity price" supplementary policy to improve the possibility of successful implementation of the RPS policy. Finally, an evolutionary game model is established to simulate and verify the possibility of successful implementation of the supplementary policy. The main research results are: (1) the essence of the current RPS policy is the comprehensive implementation policy of the RPS and feed-in-tariff (FiT); (2) because of the characteristics of China's energy structure, the implementation of this policy reform is more resistant; (3) the quantitative research on the revenue function model shows that the current transaction price of the green certificate market is very low, which is not conducive to alleviating the state's subsidy pressure on renewable energy power generation; and (4) analysis of empirical data shows that the successful implementation of the "incremental electricity price" policy relies on the initial strategies of grid companies and users. , the feasibility of successful implementation, and the problems that may be encountered during implementation. Then, based on the above analysis, a policy more suitable for the development of China's renewable energy power generation is designed to improve the possibility of successful implementation of the RPS mechanism in China. Review of the Literatures Research on Renewable Portfolio Standard Policy ApplicationThe number of FiT adopters increased from 2 in 1990 to approximately 70 in 2018, while RPS adopters increased from 1 in 1999 to approximately 15 in 2018. Countries from every geographic region and income level have adopted these policies. Contrary to what rational self-interested actors would do based on costs, benefits, and utility maximization, some of the top oil exporters in the world have adopted RPS or FiT. These countries include Iran and the United Arab Emirates in the Middle East, Kazakhstan in Asia, Nigeria and Algeria in Africa, Norway and the United Kingdom in Europe, and Brazil in the Americas and so on [11][12][13].The analysis of an effective support policy is the basis for promoting the development of renewable energy. Like China, several other countries have also experienced policy reforms from RPS to FiT or from FiT to RPS. Ac...

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Section: Research Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on China’s Renewable Energy Policy Reform and Improved Design of Renewable Portfolio Standard

et al. 2019

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“…This solution offers higher reliability of supply in most remote areas. Nowadays, renewable-based mini-grids relying on local resources have the potential of further minimizing import resource dependencies [123]. In addition, their local environmental impact can be small [124].…”

Section: Ensuring Reliability Of Supply and Environmental Securitymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Retrospective Analysis of Energy Access with a Focus on the Role of Mini-Grids

et al. 2020

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Achieving universal access to electricity by 2030 is a key part of the Agenda for Sustainable Development, and has its own Sustainable Development Goal, SDG 7.1. This is because electricity services are required for almost all aspects of a modern economy, from the cooling of vaccines to irrigation pumping, to manufacturing and running a business. The achievement of SDG 7.1 will require a thoughtful mix of policy, finance, and technology to be designed and implemented at scale. Yet, the pressing need for an electrification ramp-up is not unprecedented. Many countries (now considered "industrialized") faced similar challenges about a century ago. Although the existing literature covers a great deal of power systems evolution, there is a gap around the specific role and impact of small, isolated power systems in the early stages of electricity uptake. In this paper, we provide insights based on the review of the historical electrification efforts in four (now middle and high-income) countries. The drivers and context of electrification efforts in early stages are described. Those focus particularly on the role of dispersed, small-scale generation systems (mini-grids). Our analysis shows that electrification follows four loosely defined phases, namely: pilot projects, technological roll-out, economic expansion, and social scale-up. We report a selection of historical mistakes and advances that offer lessons of striking importance for today´s energy access efforts, particularly in regards to the development of mini-grids. We find that today, as historically, multi-stakeholder (e.g., planners, regulators, developers, investors, third party actors) collaboration is key and can help build locally adaptable, economically sustainable and community compatible mini-grids that can accelerate-and lower the societal costs of-universal access to electricity.

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“…Furthermore, the effect of energy efficient practices on the techno-economic and environmental features of HRES have not been comprehensively investigated (see Table 1). Apart from these, it has also been reported that many HRES were not able to adequately address the challenges faced by energy consumers especially in the Global South, in the past because the choice of these HRES alternatives were solely based on a single criterion: either the technical or economic [37][38][39]. As such, the selection and ranking of HRES alternatives based on multiple criteria have not been comprehensively considered in household applications.…”

Section: Reference Technical Economic Emission Energy Efficiency Mcdmmentioning

confidence: 99%

Selection of a Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for a Low-Income Household

2019

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The use of a single criterion in the selection of the most suitable hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) has been reported to be inadequate in terms of sustainability. In order to fill this gap, this study presents a multi-criteria approach for the selection of HRES for a typical low-income household. The analysis is based on two energy demand scenarios viz: consumer demand based on energy efficient equipment (EET) and consumer energy demand without energy efficiency. The optimization of the HRES is performed using hybrid optimization of multiple energy renewables (HOMER) while the multi-criteria analysis is carried out using Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) and the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). Results show that the optimal HRES alternative returned based on both energy demand scenarios is a PV/GEN/BAT system. The analysis further shows that a reduction of 44.6% in energy demand through EET leads to: 51.38% decrease in total net present cost, 11.90% decrease in cost of energy, 96.61% decrease in CO 2 emission and 193.94% increase in renewable fraction. Furthermore, the use of multi-criteria approach for HRES selection has an influence in the selection and ranking of the most suitable HRES alternatives. Overall, the application of EETs is environmentally and economically beneficial while the application of MCDM can help decision makers make a comprehensively informed decision on the selection of the most suitable HRES.

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Modeling the power of renewable energy sources in the context of classical electricity system transformation

Cited by 44 publications

References 13 publications

Study on China’s Renewable Energy Policy Reform and Improved Design of Renewable Portfolio Standard

Study on China’s Renewable Energy Policy Reform and Improved Design of Renewable Portfolio Standard

A Retrospective Analysis of Energy Access with a Focus on the Role of Mini-Grids

Selection of a Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for a Low-Income Household

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