2022
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2358796/v1
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Modelling monthly patterns in regional rainfall for the United Kingdom: a time series analysis of the Rainfall Rescue data

Abstract: In March 2020 the Rainfall Rescue project was launched on the Zooniverse platform with the aim of transcribing 66,000 sheets of rainfall observations into digital form. The associated website, RainfallRescue.org, received widespread media interest and, within 16 days, the complete set of sheets had been digitised by over 16,000 volunteer ‘citizen scientists’. The project has led to new monthly rainfall estimates for the U.K. and its ten regions being made available to download and time series analyses of these… Show more

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“…For the joint model given by (3.1) and (3.2) to become operational, the transformation parameter 𝜆𝜆, the polynomial order 𝑑𝑑, and the ARMA orders 𝑝𝑝, 𝑞𝑞, 𝑃𝑃, 𝑄𝑄 must be selected, and this can only be done empirically. Mills (2022) outlines a procedure for doing this, but it is rather laborious, requiring several stages of estimation to be undertaken. It also suffers from two methodological drawbacks.…”
Section: 13mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For the joint model given by (3.1) and (3.2) to become operational, the transformation parameter 𝜆𝜆, the polynomial order 𝑑𝑑, and the ARMA orders 𝑝𝑝, 𝑞𝑞, 𝑃𝑃, 𝑄𝑄 must be selected, and this can only be done empirically. Mills (2022) outlines a procedure for doing this, but it is rather laborious, requiring several stages of estimation to be undertaken. It also suffers from two methodological drawbacks.…”
Section: 13mentioning
confidence: 99%