Modelling of failure rate of water supply network using the Bayes theorem

Szpak, Dawid; Tchórzewska-Cieślak, B.

doi:10.1051/e3sconf/20184400175

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 12 publications

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“…It is interesting to note that a failure-repair process of such a network system can be considered an asymptotically homogenous Markov process. Another approach uses the Bayes theorem to simulate the failure rate of the water supply network [27]. This type of analysis is based on the failure rate index.…”

Section: Diagram Of a Water Supply Networkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the Mechanical Responses of Plastic Pipes Made of High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) in Water Supply Network

et al. 2020

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Featured Application: The research results have direct practical applicability. The research topic was generated by designing the water supply network of the city with 300,000 inhabitants. The results obtained and the proposed solutions can be applied to similar water supply networks, the practical importance being significant if we consider that all the cities that are found in the modern world possesses water supply networks.Abstract: This paper studies the mechanical behavior of high-density polyethylene (HDPE), from which the pipes used for water transport in water supply networks are manufactured. The study was generated by the practical problem of replacing and modernizing a water network of a city with 300,000 inhabitants. Of the numerous problems that have arisen and been solved by the group of researchers, only those referring to the mechanical behavior of the materials used for pipes are presented. HDPE, which is a thermoplastic material, is suitable for manufacturing the pipes used in water supply networks, having many advantages. Data on the mechanical properties of the material of which the pipe and elbow are made is obtained experimentally. The work involved the main steps required to design a water network, but the subject is not exhausted. The stresses in the polyethylene pipe are determined in two cases: buried in the ground and supported in a concrete massif. Thus, by calculation, the advantage offered by the second solution is justified. The crack of the pipes manufactured from HDPE is studied, taking into account the classical model used in the cracking process. A simulation of pipes and elbows cracking was made. The results obtained via MEF are useful for the users of the networks.The pipe, as the main element of a supply network strictly necessary for the transport of water, was made, for more than two millennia, out of traditional materials that were common at the time in those communities where they were used (stone, ceramics, wood, metals, non-metals, etc.). Constructive variants of pipes, of different shapes and sizes and made of different materials, have been used by many and various civilizations that have followed one another throughout history, and countless artifacts can illustrate this development.Water supply networks experienced great development, especially in the second half of the twentieth century when science and technology allowed for the emergence and production of plastics, which became the main materials of the pipes used in water supply networks. The most suitable and current plastic material used to produce the pipes needed for water transport in modern water-supply networks has been proven to be HDPE. The pipes and fittings obtained are characterized by a long service life, low maintenance costs, and their remarkable special strength and low weight. The HDPE pipes have many advantages in comparison to the classic ones used so far. Listing some of them ([2,3]): they allow a long service life; they do not need cathodic protection systems; there is no need for additional...

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Section: Diagram Of a Water Supply Networkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the Mechanical Responses of Plastic Pipes Made of High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) in Water Supply Network

et al. 2020

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The Use of Grey Systems Theory to Analyze the Water Supply Systems Safety

Szpak

Tchórzewska-Cieślak

2019

Water Resour Manage

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Failure frequency of water supply networks in the Podlaskie voivodeship

Gwoździej-Mazur

Świętochowski

2019

E3S Web Conf.

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This article describes the subject matter of the failure frequency of water supply pipes in Poland. The introduction to the article describes the causes of failures in the water supply network as well as a tool for assessment of the failure frequency of water supply pipes, i.e. damage intensity index. The status of Polish literature concerning the problem of failure frequency of water supply networks is also presented, and attention is paid to the absence of studies within the area of the Podlaskie voivodeship. The research part of the article presents the results of calculations of failure frequency indexes for water supply networks in the Podlaskie voivodeship. Materials from the Central Statistical Office for the period of 2015–2017 served as the basis for studies. Damage intensity indexes throughout the entire Podlaskie voivodeship were analyzed. The status of failure frequency of water supply networks was assessed in poviats of the Podlaskie voivodeship during the years 2015–2017. The mean level of failure frequency of water supply networks was also compared between the Podlaskie voivodeship, other voviodeships and the national average. As a result of calculations that were carried out, reference material was obtained for current and future studies concerning failure frequency of water supply networks in the Podlaskie voivodeship as well as other voivodeships of northern Poland.

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Modelling of failure rate of water supply network using the Bayes theorem

Cited by 4 publications

References 12 publications

Study on the Mechanical Responses of Plastic Pipes Made of High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) in Water Supply Network

Study on the Mechanical Responses of Plastic Pipes Made of High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) in Water Supply Network

The Use of Grey Systems Theory to Analyze the Water Supply Systems Safety

Failure frequency of water supply networks in the Podlaskie voivodeship

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