2021
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac40b2
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Modelling potential range expansion of an underutilised food security crop in Sub-Saharan Africa

Abstract: Despite substantial growth in global agricultural production, food and nutritional insecurity is rising in Sub-Saharan Africa. Identification of underutilised indigenous crops with useful food security traits may provide part of the solution. Enset (Ensete ventricosum) is a perennial banana relative with cultivation restricted to southwestern Ethiopia, where high productivity and harvest flexibility enables it to provide a starch staple for ~20 million people. An extensive wild distribution suggests that a muc… Show more

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Cited by 22 publications
(20 citation statements)
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“…Increased genetic load, which remains hidden in heterozygotes during clonal reproduction, could also be one of the factors maintaining clonal propagation as the preferred agronomic system. Whilst this strategy may have been optimal in the recent Holocene, a period of relative climate stability, we know that Ethiopia is already experiencing a warming climate, and that climate impacts are projected to become more severe throughout this century (Koch et al, 2022;McSweeney, New, & Lizcano, 2010). We suggest that for enset, and clonal crops more widely, the trade-off between clonal propagation and sexual recombination may shift further towards the latter under climate change.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Increased genetic load, which remains hidden in heterozygotes during clonal reproduction, could also be one of the factors maintaining clonal propagation as the preferred agronomic system. Whilst this strategy may have been optimal in the recent Holocene, a period of relative climate stability, we know that Ethiopia is already experiencing a warming climate, and that climate impacts are projected to become more severe throughout this century (Koch et al, 2022;McSweeney, New, & Lizcano, 2010). We suggest that for enset, and clonal crops more widely, the trade-off between clonal propagation and sexual recombination may shift further towards the latter under climate change.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…In the future, emerging climate and demographic pressures may require the relatively rapid shift and rearrangement of current crop distributions (Sloat et al ., 2020; Koch et al ., 2022), as well as adoption of new and better adapted species and agrisystems (Pironon et al ., 2019; Borrell et al ., 2020). In Ethiopia, the long-term maintenance of crop diversity over multiple periods of origin, combined with rapid integration of novel species suggests that these agrisystems may be relatively adaptable and resilient.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It has cultural significance and helps to stabilize soils and microclimates [74] . According to recent research, enset, an Ethiopian plant related to the banana, has the potential to feed more than 100 million people in warmer climates if its production has extended [75] .…”
Section: Ensetmentioning
confidence: 99%