2006
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-005-9030-1
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Modelling Regional Climate Change Effects On Potential Natural Ecosystems in Sweden

Abstract: This study aims to demonstrate the potential of a process-based regional ecosystem model, LPJ-GUESS, driven by climate scenarios generated by a regional climate model system (RCM) to generate predictions useful for assessing effects of climatic and CO 2 change on the key ecosystem services of carbon uptake and storage. Scenarios compatible with the A2 and B2 greenhouse gas emission scenarios of the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) and with boundary conditions from two general circulation models (GCM… Show more

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Cited by 157 publications
(159 citation statements)
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References 69 publications
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“…Composition can also be predicted (most successfully in terms of plant functional types, PFTs) using process-based modelling (see e.g. Lischke et al 2002;Koca et al 2006;Miller et al 2008), which is independent of either surface samples or species distributions.…”
Section: Principlesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Composition can also be predicted (most successfully in terms of plant functional types, PFTs) using process-based modelling (see e.g. Lischke et al 2002;Koca et al 2006;Miller et al 2008), which is independent of either surface samples or species distributions.…”
Section: Principlesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Koca et al 2006), we need to understand and quantify better how such species shifts affect ecosystem carbon storage through changing interactions between coarse dead wood decomposability ) and environmental regimes; and how these interactions both affect and depend on the biodiversity associated with changes in dead wood quality and decomposition dynamics. Specifically, we need a better handle on (1) disentangling the relative contributions of species variation in dead wood traits and environmental variation on the rate and dynamics of dead wood decomposition by decomposer communities, but also on recalcitrant soil organic matter formation; (2) understanding the roles of functional groups of decomposers, particularly fungi, bacteria and invertebrates, on such interactions; (3) quantifying the relative importance of interspecific variation and site-dependent intraspecific variation of wood traits on decomposability; (4) determining how (1) and, (3) affect community composition and (functional) diversity of various wood-dwelling organisms, such as fungi, bacteria, invertebrate animals and bryophytes; (5) estimating the extent to which interspecific variation in coarse wood decomposability corresponds with that of other tree organs such as branches, twigs, leaves and roots (cf.…”
Section: Loglife To the Rescuementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The difference between the two actual vegetation maps (1959 and 2001) and the PNV map was then used to indicate the effects of regrowth after abandoned land-use (Gehrig-Fasel et al 2007), while the forest height growth and recent climate data were used to analyse the separate effects of recent climate change on forest growth and expansion. Fourthly, a downscaled climate change scenario was included to analyse the future climate effect on the regional forest limits (Koca et al 2006).…”
Section: Overviewmentioning
confidence: 99%