2021
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15937
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Modelling the biogeographic boundary shift of Calanus finmarchicus reveals drivers of Arctic Atlantification by subarctic zooplankton

Abstract: In recent decades, the enhanced inflow of warm Atlantic water in to the Eurasian Arctic represents a step toward a new Arctic climate state (Polyakov et al., 2017;Tsubouchi et al., 2021). As well as contributing to rapid rates of warming and sea-ice loss (Polyakov et al., 2017), "Atlantification" or borealization of the Arctic Ocean is also triggering a shift in Arctic biological communities as subarctic species

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Cited by 24 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…To identify the suitability and changes in the habitat for C. finmarchicus in the Fram Strait, we constructed an ecological niche model (ENM) for this species, whereby occurrence and environmental data were fitted using the presence-only ENM algorithm MaxEnt v. 3.4.1 using the R package SDMtune (Vignali et al 2020 ). Further details on the input data, methodology, and model performance are detailed in Electronic Supplementary Material ( ESM ) and in Freer et al ( 2021 ). MaxEnt gives an estimate of the relative habitat suitability of each grid cell by comparing environmental conditions at occupied locations to the available conditions within the study region.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To identify the suitability and changes in the habitat for C. finmarchicus in the Fram Strait, we constructed an ecological niche model (ENM) for this species, whereby occurrence and environmental data were fitted using the presence-only ENM algorithm MaxEnt v. 3.4.1 using the R package SDMtune (Vignali et al 2020 ). Further details on the input data, methodology, and model performance are detailed in Electronic Supplementary Material ( ESM ) and in Freer et al ( 2021 ). MaxEnt gives an estimate of the relative habitat suitability of each grid cell by comparing environmental conditions at occupied locations to the available conditions within the study region.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This emphasises that the EFS is no longer a marginal environment for C. finmarchicus but is a region where this species now thrives. Nevertheless, the comparatively low abundances in the WFS that not all parts of this Arctic region are equally favourable to this species, with differences in seasonality in primary production and sea-ice (Freer et al, 2021) and advective inputs (Wassmann et al, 2015) being major factors. Therefore, it is necessary to make a biogeographic distinction between Fram Strait regions primarily influenced by the EGC and those by the WSC.…”
Section: Population Abundancementioning
confidence: 95%
“…Hence, the total contribution to C flux in this region from all Calanus species could likely be triple and close to 1 Mt C year −1 , which would be a substantial contribution in the wider context. However, a further factor to consider is that while conditions in the Fram Strait have become increasingly favourable for the boreal C. finmarchicus (Freer et al, 2021), they have become less so for C. glacialis and C. hyperboreus with core distribution regions shifting ever northwards (Ershova et al, 2021). Therefore, the true value of C flux generated by C. finmarchicus in the Fram Strait may be in maintaining the lipid pump as the contribution from true Arctic conspecifics diminishes.…”
Section: Total Population C Fluxmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We could also highlight the comparatively low coverage of eDNA studies in both the Arctic and the Southern oceans. Polar regions are changing faster than others, with range contractions of native species and poleward range expansions of temperate species already underway (e.g., Frainer et al, 2017;Freer;Daase & Tarling, 2021;Schröter et al, 2019). The need for baseline studies and comprehensive biodiversity assessments to be used for mitigating these impacts is more pressing than ever.…”
Section: Prospects For Edna In a Changing Oceanmentioning
confidence: 99%