Modelling the renewable transition: Scenarios and pathways for a decarbonized future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

Solé, Jordi; Samsó, Roger; Garcı́a-Ladona, Emilio; Garciá‐Olivares, Antonio; Ballabrera-Poy, Joaquim; Madurell, Teresa; Turiel, Antonio; Osychenko, Oleg; Alvarez, Daniel del Barrio; Bardi, Ugo; Baumann, Martin; Buchmann, K.; Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo; Černý, Martin; Carpintero, Óscar; Blás, Ignacio de; Castro, Carlos de; Lathouwer, J.-D. De; Duce, Carmen; Eggler, Lukas; Enriquez, Javier; Falsini, Sara; Feng, Kuishuang; Ferreras, N.; Frechoso, Fernando; Hubacek, Klaus; Jones, Aled; Kaclíková, R.; Kerschner, Christian; Kimmich, Christian; Lobejón, Luis Fernando; Lomas, Pedro L.; Martelloni, Gianluca; Mediavilla, Margarita; Miguel, Luis; Natalini, Davide; Nieto, Jaime Tatay; Nikolaev, Angel; Parrado, G.; Papagianni, S.; Perissi, Ilaria; Ploiner, C.; Radulov, Lulin; Rodrigo, Paula; Sun, Lei; Theofilidi, M.

doi:10.1016/j.rser.2020.110105

Cited by 45 publications

(21 citation statements)

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“…In particular, energy transition towards a zero-carbon economy is mandatory to mitigate climate change by carbon dioxide emissions reduction [ 69 ]. Then, several resources of the current worldwide research are addressed to find alternatives for energy production and to identify suitable fuels able to avoid fossil sources drawbacks (SDGs 7–11).…”

Section: Sustainable Materials Developed By the Instm Consortiummentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable Materials and their Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A Critical Review Based on an Italian Example

et al. 2021

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The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) have been proposed to give a possible future to humankind. Due to the multidimensional characteristic of sustainability, SDGs need research activities with a multidisciplinary approach. This work aims to provide a critical review of the results concerning sustainable materials obtained by Italian researchers affiliated to the National Interuniversity Consortium of Materials Science and Technology (INSTM) and their contribution to reaching specific indicators of the 17 SDGs. Data were exposed by using the Web of Science (WoS) database. In the investigated period (from 2016 to 2020), 333 works about sustainable materials are found and grouped in one of the following categories: chemicals (33%), composites (11%), novel materials for pollutants sequestration (8%), bio-based and food-based materials (10%), materials for green building (8%), and materials for energy (29%). This review contributes to increasing the awareness of several of the issues concerning sustainable materials but also to encouraging the researchers to focus on SDGs’ interconnections. Indeed, the mapping of the achievements can be relevant to the decision-makers to identify the opportunities that materials can offer to achieve the final goals. In this frame, a “Sustainable Materials Partnership for SDGs” is envisaged for more suitable resource management in the future.

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Section: Sustainable Materials Developed By the Instm Consortiummentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable Materials and their Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A Critical Review Based on an Italian Example

et al. 2021

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“…The approach used in MEDEAS proposes an innovative modeling framework (Figure 1), integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints to support the design of policy. Despite their short existence, the MEDEAS models have already been used to study different aspects of the energy-economy-environment interrelations in several publications; for more detail, the reader is referred to references [10][11][12][13] and the project website [14]. Overview of MEDEAS by modules and the modeled linkages between them.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…MEDEAS models, initially developed in Vensim ® , have an open-source version in the Python programming language, the pymedeas models, which provide three geographical levels: World, EU 28,and Austria (pymedeas_w,pymedeas_eu,and pymedeas_at) [10]. The structure of MEDEAS set of models is nested, meaning that some outputs from the simulations of the world model become inputs to the European model, whose output are in turn used as inputs to the country models.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the World and EU MEDEAS models have already been presented and discussed in the literature [5,10,13,16,24,25], until the current work, the MEDEAS country models for Austria and Bulgaria had not been the subject of any publication. Hence, the current work aims to present the adaptation of the MEDEAS models to a smaller regional scale as well as to test their validity by benchmarking their results against the well-known TIMES and LEAP models.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP)

et al. 2021

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In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of integrated assessment models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modeling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different integrated assessment models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models’ conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modeling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.

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“…This theme becomes even more difficult when the phenomena under study concern the dynamics of complex systems like socio-economic systems, energy systems and environmental systems that are all interconnected by a dense network of feedbacks. In this case, it is necessary to resort to the use of While the World and EU MEDEAS models have already been presented and discussed in the literature [10], [17], [18], [23], [24], [25], until the current work, the MEDEAS country models for Austria and Bulgaria had not been the subject of any publication. Hence, the current work aims to present the adaptation of the MEDEAS models to a smaller regional scale as well as to test their validity by benchmarking their results against the well-known TIMES and LEAP models.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)

Perissi¹,

Martelloni²,

Bardi³

et al. 2021

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In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of Integrated Assessment Models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modelling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different Integrated Assessment Models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models’ conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modelling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.

show abstract

Modelling the renewable transition: Scenarios and pathways for a decarbonized future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

Cited by 45 publications

References 56 publications

Sustainable Materials and their Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A Critical Review Based on an Italian Example

Sustainable Materials and their Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A Critical Review Based on an Italian Example

Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP)

Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)

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