“…Since then, the critical instant theorem under the probabilistic setup by Maxim and Cucu-Grosjean [25] has been widely used in the literature [26], [31], [32]. Due to an essential complication in probabilistic response-time analysis (i.e., convolution over multiple random variables), several techniques have been developed to tackle issues of intractability through various means, e.g., down-sampling [24], [25], [27], [30], concentration inequalities [8], [9], [35], task-level convolution [35], and Monte-Carlo simulation [6]. Our Contributions: This paper revisits the critical instant for the probabilistic timing analysis of sporadic real-time task sets, formally defined as the worst-case response time exceedance probability (WCRTEP) in Definition 2 and the worst-case deadline failure probability (WCDFP) in Definition 4.…”