“…For instance, a person may understand that going out -vis-à-vis never leaving home (the government's recommendation) -implies higher risk of contracting the virus and, if not motivated by one of the essential activities or reasons allowed by the lockdown rules, a positive risk of sanctions. Yet, the person might weigh these 8 We use measurement and econometric tools developed in a growing economic literature on survey expectations, reviewed from various perspectives by Manski (2004Manski ( , 2023, Attanasio (2009), Attanasio, Almas and Jervis (2020), Delavande (2014Delavande ( , 2023, Hurd (2009), Hudomiet, Hurd andRohwedder (2023), Giustinelli and Manski (2018), Giustinelli (2022, Bruine de Bruin et al (2023), Fuster and Zafar (2023), and Koşar and O'Dea (2023), among others. 9 We review the restrictions in detail in Section 2.…”