Mortality and population drinking: a review of the literature

Norström, Thor; Ramstedt, Mats

doi:10.1080/09595230500293845

Cited by 192 publications

(172 citation statements)

References 52 publications

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“…This relationship is also borne out by the aggregate time-series analyses that have been carried out on data for various countries. Generally, a stronger relationship has been reported for countries with an intoxication-oriented drinking pattern, compared with countries where drinking is more tempered (for a review, see Norström and Ramstedt, 2005). In this article, we widen the comparative basis by assessing the aggregate relationship between alcohol and homicide in two countries that are known for having high rates of violent deaths-Russia and the United States (Pridemore, 2001).…”

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confidence: 99%

Alcohol and Homicide in Russia and the United States: A Comparative Analysis

Landberg

Norström²

2011

J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs

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ABSTRACT. Objective: The object of this study was to perform a comparative analysis of the aggregate relationship between alcohol and homicide in Russia and in the United States. The comparison was based on the magnitude of the alcohol effect, the alcohol attributable fraction (AAF), and the degree to which total consumption could account for trends in homicide. Method: We analyzed total and sex-specifi c homicide rates for the age groups 15-64 years, 15-34 years, and 35-64 years. The study period was 1959-1998 for Russia and 1950 for the United States. For the United States, alcohol consumption was gauged by sales of alcohol; for Russia, estimated unrecorded consumption was included as well. The data were analyzed through autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modeling. Results: The results show that, for Russia as well as for the United States, a 1-L increase in consumption was associated with an increase in homicides of about 10%, although the absolute effect was markedly larger in Russia because of differences in homicide rates. The AAF estimates suggested that 73% and 57% of the homicides would be attributable to alcohol in Russia and in the United States, respectively. Most of the temporal variation in the Russian homicide rate could be accounted for by the trend in drinking, whereas the U.S. trend in total alcohol consumption had a more limited ability to predict the trend in homicides. Conclusions: We conclude that the role of alcohol in homicide seems to be larger in Russia than in the United States. (J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs, 72, 723-730, 2011)

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Alcohol and Homicide in Russia and the United States: A Comparative Analysis

Landberg

Norström²

2011

J. Stud. Alcohol Drugs

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“…The instantaneous response in mortality rates from chronic alcoholrelated diseases seem quite surprising when considering the long latency period at the individual level [8]. The reasonable explanation from this seeming inconsistency has been suggested by Norström and Skog [30].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Liver cirrhosis mortality rate is a reliable indicator of the alcohol-related harm at the population level since there is a strong relationship between mortality rate and alcohol consumption per capita [8]. The outcome of the time series analysis showed a positive and statistically significant relationship between liver cirrhosis mortality and population drinking in 13 of 14 Western European countries for males and in 9 countries for females [9].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

The Effects of Beverage Specific Alcohol Sale on Liver Cirrhosis Mortality in Russia

Ye¹

2015

J Addict Med Ther Sci

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Background: Liver cirrhosis is a major cause of deaths in many developed countries. There is evidence that beverage preference may have modifying influence on liver cirrhosis risk independently of the amount of alcohol consumed.The aim of this study was to examine the relation between the consumption of different beverage types and liver cirrhosis mortality rates in Russia.Method: Time-series analytical modeling techniques were used to examine the relation between the sale of different alcoholic beverages (vodka, wine, beer) and age-standardized male and female liver cirrhosis mortality data for the period 1970-2005. Results:Total alcohol sale is a statistically significant associated with both male and female liver cirrhosis mortality rates, implying that a 1-litre increase in per capita alcohol sale is associated with an increase in male mortality of 17.2% and female mortality of 5.3%. The analysis also suggests that of the three beverages (vodka, beer and wine) vodka alone was associated with liver cirrhosis mortality in Russia. The estimated effects of vodka sales on the liver cirrhosis mortality rate are clearly statistically significant for both sexes: a 1 liter increase in vodka sale would result in a 37.6% increase in the male liver cirrhosis mortality rate and in 9.3% increase in female mortality rate. Conclusions:The findings from present study support the substantial literature which demonstrates a close link between alcohol consumption and liver cirrhosis mortality at aggregate level, and most important, suggests that this relationship is mediated by beverage preference.

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“…It is widely recognized that overall level of alcohol sales is an important determinant of violent mortality rates (Lester, 1998;Norström & Ramstedt, 2005 (Skog, 2001). These findings provided support for the hypothesis that the effect of alcohol on accident mortality rate is stronger in the northern European "spirits" countries, characterized by low per capita consumption, with the bulk of consumption concentrated on a few occasions (binge drinking pattern), or "dry" drinking cultures, than in the southern European wine countries, with a high average consumption more evenly distributed throughout the week, or "wet" drinking cultures.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ventas de bebidas alcohólicas y mortalidad violenta en Rusia

Разводовский¹

2010

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Background: High violent mortality rate in Russia and its profound fluctuation over recent decades have attracted considerable interest. A mounting body of evidence points to the binge drinking pattern as a potentially important contributor to the violent mortality crisis in Russia. In line with this evidence, we assume that higher level of vodka consumption in conjunction with binge drinking pattern results in close aggregate-level association between vodka sales and violent mortality rates in Russia. Aims and Methods: To test this hypothesis, trends in beverage-specific alcohol sales per capita and mortality rates from external causes in Russia between 1980 and 2005 were analyzed by means of ARIMA time-series analysis. Results: Results of the analysis indicate that violent mortality rates tend to be more responsive to change in vodka sales per capita than to change in total level of alcohol sales. The analysis suggests that a 1-litre increase in vodka sales per capita would result in a 5% increase in violent mortality rate, an 11.3% increase in accidents and injuries mortality rate, a 9.2% increase in suicide rate, a 12.5% increase in homicide rate, and a 21.9% increase in fatal alcohol poisoning rate. Conclusion: The outcomes of this study provide support Conclusion: The outcomes of this study provide support Conclusion: for the hypothesis that alcohol played a crucial role in the fluctuation in violent mortality rate in Russia in recent decades. Assuming that drinking vodka is usually associated with intoxication episodes, these findings provide additional evidence that the binge drinking pattern is an important determinant of the violent mortality crisis in Russia. RESUMEN ABSTRACTIntroducción: La elevada mortalidad debido a la violencia en Rusia en las últimas décadas ha atraído un interés considerable. Existe evidencia de que el consumo intensivo (binge drinking) de alcohol es un factor binge drinking) de alcohol es un factor binge drinking) potencialmente importante para explicar esta mortalidad. Presuponemos que un alto consumo de vodka junto con un patrón de consumo intensivo da lugar a una estrecha relación entre las ventas de vodka y las tasas de mortalidad violenta en Rusia. Objetivos y métodos: Para probar esta hipótesis, se analizaron a través de Objetivos y métodos: Para probar esta hipótesis, se analizaron a través de Objetivos y métodos: series temporales ARIMA las tendencias en las ventas de alcohol per cápita y tasas de mortalidad por causas externas en Rusia entre 1980 y 2005. Resultados: Los resultados del análisis indican que las tasas de mortalidad por violencia tienden a ser más sensible a los cambios en las ventas de vodka per cápita que a cambio en el nivel total de las ventas de alcohol. El análisis sugiere que un aumento de 1 litro en las ventas de vodka per cápita se traduciría en un aumento del 5% en la tasa de mortalidad por violencia, un 11,3% de los accidentes y lesiones, un 9,2% en la tasa de suicidio, un 12,5% en tasa de homicidios y un aumento del 21,9% en la tasa de intoxic...

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Mortality and population drinking: a review of the literature

Cited by 192 publications

References 52 publications

Alcohol and Homicide in Russia and the United States: A Comparative Analysis

Alcohol and Homicide in Russia and the United States: A Comparative Analysis

The Effects of Beverage Specific Alcohol Sale on Liver Cirrhosis Mortality in Russia

Ventas de bebidas alcohólicas y mortalidad violenta en Rusia

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