Objectives
Because juvenile idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (JIIM) are potentially life-threatening systemic autoimmune diseases, we examined risk factors for JIIM mortality.
Methods
Mortality status was available for 405 patients (329 juvenile dermatomyositis [JDM], 30 juvenile polymyositis [JPM], 46 juvenile connective tissue disease–associated myositis [JCTM]) enrolled in nationwide protocols. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated using United States population statistics. Cox regression was used to assess univariable associations with mortality, and random survival forest (RSF) classification and Cox regression for multivariable associations.
Results
Of 17 deaths (4.2% overall mortality), 8 (2.4%) were in JDM patients. Death was related to the pulmonary system, primarily interstitial lung disease (ILD), in 7 patients, gastrointestinal in 3, multisystem in 3, and of unknown etiology in 4 patients. The SMR for JIIM overall was 14.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) 12.2, 16.5] and 8.3 [95% CI 6.4, 10.3] for JDM. The top mortality risk factors in the univariable analysis included clinical subgroup (JCTM, JPM), anti-synthetase autoantibodies, older age at diagnosis, ILD and Raynaud’s phenomenon at diagnosis. In multivariable analyses, clinical subgroup, illness severity at onset, age at diagnosis, weight loss and delay to diagnosis were the most important predictors from RSF; clinical subgroup and illness severity at onset were confirmed by multivariable Cox regression.
Conclusions
Overall mortality was higher in JIIM patients, and several early illness features were identified as risk factors. Clinical subgroup, anti-synthetase autoantibodies, older age at diagnosis, and ILD are also recognized as mortality risk factors in adult myositis.