1999
DOI: 10.1038/44069
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Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol

Abstract: The Kyoto Protocol allows reductions in emissions of several 'greenhouse' gases to be credited against a CO 2-equivalent emissions limit, calculated using 'global warming potential' indices for each gas. Using an integrated global-systems model, it is shown that a multi-gas control strategy could greatly reduce the costs of fulfilling the Kyoto Protocol compared with a CO 2-only strategy. Extending the Kyoto Protocol to 2100 without more severe emissions reductions shows little difference between the two strat… Show more

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Cited by 297 publications
(148 citation statements)
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“…GWP is defined as the total amount of TOA forcing that is attributable to a given mass of emitted pollutant during a specified time after emission (currently 100 years), relative to the forcing of the same mass of CO2. Lower-cost mitigation of a climate change may result from this basket treatment of climate-active species (20); a scenario that adds BC to the basket might be attractive for this reason.…”
Section: Comparability: Time and Toamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…GWP is defined as the total amount of TOA forcing that is attributable to a given mass of emitted pollutant during a specified time after emission (currently 100 years), relative to the forcing of the same mass of CO2. Lower-cost mitigation of a climate change may result from this basket treatment of climate-active species (20); a scenario that adds BC to the basket might be attractive for this reason.…”
Section: Comparability: Time and Toamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While the inclusion of all GHGs under BTAs expands the tariff base at the border, the carbon prices with fixed target are expected to be lower due to relatively cheap abatement options for several of the non-CO2 GHG sources (Blok et al 2001, Harmelink et al 2005) and flexibility in abatement options (Hayhoe et al 1999, Hyman et al 2003, Jensen and Thelle 2001, Lucas et al 2005, Manne and Richels 2001, Reilly et al, 1999, Tol 1999, and Van Vuuren et al 2003. It is not clear what would be the net impacts from the two opposing forces (i.e., a larger carbon base and lower carbon prices under GHG based policies) on individual abating and non-abating countries and sectors.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, our study tests the efficacy of voluntary governance and subnational actors in addressing one incredibly important environmental problem, climate change. Second, an abundance of peer-reviewed literature over the past two decades has treated the Kyoto Protocol as a failure (Nordhaus 2015;Reilly et al 1999;Victor 2004;Victor 2006). Our results, interestingly, suggest that such harsh criticism of the Accord may be unwarranted.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 79%